BEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEN - Franklin Resources, Inc.
$34.31
0.34 (1.00%)
▲
5d:
+1.33%
30d:
+6.26%
90d:
+11.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BEN is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BEN is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.97
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEN is currently trading at $34.31, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.68 to $34.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$32.68 -
$34.38
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BEN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.18)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.68 -
$34.38
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.25
Resistance Level
$34.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.84
Wall Street Target
$35.18
(+2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
106.7%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.55
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$36.82
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$38.15
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.49
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.5%)
$83.49
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$45.09
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 9.5%)
$38.33
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.47
Bull Case
$74.73
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.4
Base Case
$67.94
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.1
Bear Case
$23.10
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
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