BEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEN - Franklin Resources, Inc.
$33.86
0.69 (2.08%)
▲
5d:
+4.22%
30d:
-0.59%
90d:
+12.98%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BEN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BEN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.12
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEN is currently trading at $33.86, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.60 to $33.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$32.60 -
$33.86
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.45)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.60 -
$33.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.73
Resistance Level
$34.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.93
Wall Street Target
$34.45
(+1.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
87.2%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.28
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$36.76
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$38.31
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.01
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.0%)
$85.61
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 10.0%)
$45.12
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 10.0%)
$38.35
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.34
Bull Case
$72.97
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.2
Base Case
$66.34
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.8
Bear Case
$22.56
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
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