Franklin Resources (BEN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEN - Franklin Resources, Inc.
$32.81
0.31 (0.95%)
▲
5d:
-0.64%
30d:
-0.61%
90d:
-4.73%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BEN is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BEN is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.45
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEN is currently trading at $32.81, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.68 to $34.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BEN scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BEN scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$32.68 -
$34.37
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BEN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.68 -
$34.37
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.56
Resistance Level
$33.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.29
Wall Street Target
$35.50
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
106.7%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.27
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$33.74
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$34.21
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$32.92
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.2%)
$87.05
(+165%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 10.2%)
$43.90
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 10.2%)
$37.31
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.49
Bull Case
$71.50
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$65.00
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$22.10
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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