Saul Centers (BFS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BFS - Saul Centers, Inc.
$28.83
-0.67 (-2.27%)
▼
5d:
-2.04%
30d:
-4.63%
90d:
-18.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
Get Alerted When BFS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BFS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BFS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BFS is currently trading at $28.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.42 to $30.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 36.0) compared to its historical average (41.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BFS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.00 (+49.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BFS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.00 (+49.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$29.42 -
$30.39
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.2% below Wall St target ($43.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.42 -
$30.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.69
Resistance Level
$30.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.04
Wall Street Target
$43.00
(+49.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.7%
Profit Margin
11.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.0 vs 41.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.53
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$26.29
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$25.11
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→41)
$28.85
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.0, Growth: 40.4%)
$79.71
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 40.4%)
$43.93
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 40.4%)
$37.34
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 30.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.98
Bull Case
$26.49
(-8%)
Analyst growth -18.4%, PE expands to 33.1
Base Case
$24.08
(-17%)
Market implied -18.4%, PE stable at 30.1
Bear Case
$20.06
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.0 to 41.4
Stabilization Target:
$33.12
(+14.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated REIT - Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
EPRT
Essential Properties Rea… |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$36 | 51 HOLD |
|
NTST
Netstreit Corp |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$23 | 57 HOLD |
|
MAC
Macerich Company |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$27 | 60 HOLD |
|
FRT
Federal Realty Investmen… |
BUY
19 analysts |
$128 | 57 HOLD |
|
BRX
Brixmor Property |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$34 | 57 HOLD |