Saul Centers (BFS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BFS - Saul Centers, Inc.
$31.27
-0.39 (-1.23%)
▼
5d:
-3.78%
30d:
-9.1%
90d:
-15.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BFS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BFS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BFS is currently trading at $31.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.53 to $34.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 39.1) is in line with its historical norms (42.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BFS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BFS scores 11/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.00 (+37.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BFS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BFS scores 11/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.00 (+37.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$32.53 -
$34.43
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (11/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.5% below Wall St target ($43.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.53 -
$34.43
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.17
Resistance Level
$33.67
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
39.09
Wall Street Target
$43.00
(+37.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.7%
Profit Margin
11.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
39.1 vs 42.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.52
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$29.79
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$29.07
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→42)
$31.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.1, Growth: 40.4%)
$86.45
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 40.4%)
$44.61
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 40.4%)
$37.92
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 32.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.97
Bull Case
$28.72
(-8%)
Analyst growth -17.5%, PE expands to 35.9
Base Case
$26.11
(-17%)
Market implied -17.5%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case
$21.53
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 39.1 to 42.0
Stabilization Target:
$33.60
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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