Saul Centers (BFS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$28.43
-0.38 (-1.30%)
▼
5d:
-2.32%
30d:
-4.29%
90d:
-18.79%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$28.82 – $29.68
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
36.0x
CHEAP
vs 41.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$43.00
+49.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$28.13 / $29.60
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BFS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BFS is currently trading at $28.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.82 to $29.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 36.0) compared to its historical average (41.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BFS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.00 (+49.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BFS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.00 (+49.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$28.82 -
$29.68
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$28.82 -
$29.68
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$28.13
Resistance Level
$29.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.3% below Wall St target ($43.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.00
Wall Street Target
$43.00
(+49.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.9%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.0 vs 41.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.56
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$26.38
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$25.24
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→41)
$28.82
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.0, Growth: 40.4%)
$79.62
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 40.4%)
$43.93
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 40.4%)
$37.34
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 30.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.94
Bull Case
$26.97
(-6%)
Analyst growth -14.9%, PE expands to 33.7
Base Case
$24.52
(-15%)
Market implied -14.9%, PE stable at 30.7
Bear Case
$19.59
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.0 to 41.1
Stabilization Target:
$32.88
(+14.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BFS)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jan 20, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user with 11 followers expressed curiosity as to why $BFS, a specific financial services index, is not yet indexed on $BTC.X. No recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes:
curiosity about $BFS indexing
bullish sentiment towards $BFS
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 1:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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