BG
Bunge Global SA
FATS & OILS
Bunge Global SA (BG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$101.18
+2.08 (+2.10%)
▲
5d:
+7.39%
30d:
-1.51%
90d:
-9.34%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (83%)
Quality Score
65/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$98.47 – $106.85
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.2x
CHEAP
vs 10.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$139.22
+37.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$91.51 / $103.92
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.6% annual earnings decline despite 95% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
BG is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; BG has been on it 1 day). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-11-09.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$196.22
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.84
17.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BG is currently trading at $101.18, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.47 to $106.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.2) compared to its historical average (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 94.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $103.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BG scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.22 (+37.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $103.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BG scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.22 (+37.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$98.47 -
$106.85
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$98.47 -
$106.85
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$91.51
Resistance Level
$103.92
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 9, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.6% below Wall St target ($139.22)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.18
Wall Street Target
$139.22
(+37.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
94.7%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 10.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.51
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$90.17
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$85.12
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$101.08
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.8%)
$348.65
(+245%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 16.8%)
$161.14
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 16.8%)
$136.97
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.82
Bull Case
$206.47
(+104%)
Analyst growth 89.4%, PE expands to 18.7
Base Case
$187.70
(+86%)
Market implied 89.4%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$67.39
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$120.15
(+18.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BG)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 31, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bunge Global reported stronger Q3 processing results, especially in North America and Europe, but faced challenges in soybean merchandising and distribution. The company maintained its full-year adjusted EPS outlook.
Key Retail Themes:
Processing performance
Full-year EPS outlook
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 10, 2026 6:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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