BG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BG - Bunge Global SA
$111.75
0.15 (0.13%)
▲
5d:
+4.81%
30d:
-4.18%
90d:
-11.46%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $108.38 · last confirmed Aug 10, 2026
Strength: 6.9/10
Get Alerted When BG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.6% annual earnings decline despite 33% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.6% annual earnings decline despite 33% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$213.46
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$132.54
15.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BG is currently trading at $111.75, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $106.94 to $118.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $113.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BG scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $141.22 (+26.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $113.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BG scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $141.22 (+26.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$106.94 -
$118.89
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.4% below Wall St target ($141.22)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$106.94 -
$118.89
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.81
Resistance Level
$113.89
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.85
Wall Street Target
$141.22
(+26.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
88.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 11.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.61
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$101.71
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$97.03
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$111.27
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.7%)
$373.77
(+235%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 17.7%)
$182.06
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 17.7%)
$154.75
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.64
Bull Case
$245.52
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case
$223.20
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$75.89
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 11.3
Stabilization Target:
$128.15
(+14.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 13, 2026 8:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:34 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Farm Products Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Farm Products by analyst ratings.
Advanced BG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BG price and gamma walls.
