BG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BG - Bunge Global SA
$120.12
-2.74 (-2.23%)
▼
5d:
+7.66%
30d:
+12.66%
90d:
-7.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$211.58
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$131.38
8.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BG is currently trading at $120.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $108.09 to $117.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $106.57, while resistance sits at $123.89.
Market Sentiment: BG scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $141.22 (+17.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $106.57, while resistance sits at $123.89.
Market Sentiment: BG scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $141.22 (+17.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$108.09 -
$117.28
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($141.22)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$108.09 -
$117.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$106.57
Resistance Level
$123.89
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.59
Wall Street Target
$141.22
(+17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
88.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$117.72
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$115.36
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$113.06
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$119.55
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.7%)
$373.85
(+211%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 17.7%)
$195.73
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 17.7%)
$166.37
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.71
Bull Case
$270.29
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.7
Base Case
$245.72
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.1
Bear Case
$83.54
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$127.02
(+5.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 03, 2026 9:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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