TSN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSN - Tyson Foods, Inc.
$57.42
1.91 (3.44%)
▲
5d:
+0.21%
30d:
-13.62%
90d:
-3.82%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TSN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.9% annual earnings decline despite 3602% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TSN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.9% annual earnings decline despite 3602% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.31
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSN is currently trading at $57.42, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.01 to $64.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.3) compared to its historical average (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3602.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $56.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.92 (+27.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $56.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.92 (+27.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$56.01 -
$64.35
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.8% below Wall St target ($70.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.01 -
$64.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.15
Resistance Level
$66.86
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.27
Wall Street Target
$70.92
(+27.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3602.2%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 14.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.79
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$50.20
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$47.74
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$55.25
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.1%)
$135.24
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 11.1%)
$76.20
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 11.1%)
$64.77
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.27
Bull Case
$122.01
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 48.0
Base Case
$110.92
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 43.7
Bear Case
$37.71
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$64.24
(+15.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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