TSN Tyson Foods, Inc. POULTRY SLAUGHTERING AND PROCESSING

Tyson Foods (TSN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$60.29
+0.42 (+0.70%) ▲
5d: +5.85% 30d: +12.54% 90d: +8.03%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
32/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$52.98 – $58.26
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.6x FAIR
vs 13.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$63.00
+4.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$55.02 / $61.62
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TSN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $60.11 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026

Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.23
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.85
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TSN is currently trading at $60.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.98 to $58.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TSN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $61.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: TSN scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $52.98 - $58.26
Company Quality Score 32/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $52.98 - $58.26
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $55.02
Resistance Level $61.62
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Protect Your Profits

TSN is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($63.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.63
Wall Street Target $63.00 (+4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 204.1%
Profit Margin 1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.4% premium
PE vs Historical 15.6 vs 13.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $62.94 (+4%)
2-Year Target $65.71 (+9%)
3-Year Target $68.60 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→14) PE COMPRESSION $60.59 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.6%) $98.04 (+63%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 8.6%) $77.14 (+28%)
Bear: (PE: 13.3, Growth: 8.6%) $65.57 (+9%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.62
Bull Case $131.71 (+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.7
Base Case $119.74 (+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.0
Bear Case $40.71 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TSN)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 16, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bullish sentiment dominates $TSN on StockTwits with one message focusing on the company's protein.
Key Retail Themes: Company's focus on protein
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced TSN Option Strategies

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Part A: Deep-Dive TSN Research Pages
TSN Technical Chart TSN Price Prediction TSN Intrinsic Value DCF TSN Earnings Date Why is TSN Moving Today? TSN Investment Advisor TSN Fair Price Analyzer TSN Options Chain TSN Options Advisor TSN Options Analysis TSN Competitors
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