Tyson Foods (TSN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSN - Tyson Foods, Inc.
$55.90
0.52 (0.94%)
▲
5d:
+3.1%
30d:
+7.87%
90d:
-1.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 16, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TSN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TSN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.86
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSN is currently trading at $55.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.12 to $54.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TSN scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.00 (+12.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TSN scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.00 (+12.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$51.12 -
$54.01
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TSN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($63.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.12 -
$54.01
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.72
Resistance Level
$55.96
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.97
Wall Street Target
$63.00
(+12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
204.1%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.29
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$56.69
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$57.08
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.97
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$107.49
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 10.6%)
$75.63
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$64.28
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.62
Bull Case
$121.84
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.6
Base Case
$110.76
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.2
Bear Case
$37.66
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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