BGSI
BGSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$88.50
-1.73 (-1.92%)
▼
5d:
+0.56%
30d:
+13.2%
90d:
-15.76%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
22/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$78.23 – $86.87
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.0x
CHEAP
vs 21.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$146.71
+65.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$80.13 / $92.29
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BGSI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$192.45
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$119.50
25.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BGSI is currently trading at $88.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.23 to $86.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (21.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGSI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $80.13, while resistance sits at $92.29.
Market Sentiment: BGSI scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $146.71 (+65.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGSI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $80.13, while resistance sits at $92.29.
Market Sentiment: BGSI scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $146.71 (+65.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$78.23 -
$86.87
Company Quality Score
22/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$78.23 -
$86.87
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$80.13
Resistance Level
$92.29
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 65.8% below Wall St target ($146.71)
- WARNING: Composite score 22/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.98
Wall Street Target
$146.71
(+65.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.4%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 21.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.31
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$82.24
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$79.28
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$88.53
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 44.1%)
$277.22
(+213%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 44.1%)
$265.00
(+199%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 44.1%)
$225.25
(+155%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.38 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.57
Bull Case
$106.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$88.50
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$67.70
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 21.2
Stabilization Target:
$98.83
(+11.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.7%
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Last updated: November 10, 2026 9:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BGSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
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