BHRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BHRB - Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock
$62.08
-1.95 (-3.05%)
▼
5d:
-1.77%
30d:
-1.52%
90d:
-4.86%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BHRB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BHRB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.77
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.30
6.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BHRB is currently trading at $62.08, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.34 to $63.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.0) is in line with its historical norms (7.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHRB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.25 (+18.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHRB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.25 (+18.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$62.34 -
$63.99
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($73.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.34 -
$63.99
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.65
Resistance Level
$64.16
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.04
Wall Street Target
$73.25
(+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.6%
Profit Margin
34.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 7.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.16
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$58.29
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$56.48
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$61.77
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 15.1%)
$294.56
(+375%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 15.1%)
$94.66
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 15.1%)
$80.46
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.71
Bull Case
$79.50
(+25%)
Analyst growth 14.4%, PE expands to 9.0
Base Case
$72.27
(+14%)
Market implied 14.4%, PE stable at 8.2
Bear Case
$42.98
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 7.7
Stabilization Target:
$67.89
(+9.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BHRB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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