BHRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BHRB - Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock
$71.55
0.55 (0.77%)
â˛
5d:
-2.19%
30d:
+1.1%
90d:
+12.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BHRB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BHRB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$132.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.56
13.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BHRB is currently trading at $71.55, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.28 to $73.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHRB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BHRB scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.00 (+11.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHRB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BHRB scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.00 (+11.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$71.28 -
$73.75
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($80.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with 22.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.28 -
$73.75
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.01
Resistance Level
$74.73
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.17
Wall Street Target
$80.00
(+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.6%
Profit Margin
27.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.62
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$73.71
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$74.82
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$71.39
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 27.9%)
$367.78
(+414%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 27.9%)
$149.79
(+109%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 27.9%)
$127.32
(+78%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.13
Bull Case
$111.52
(+56%)
Analyst growth 42.8%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case
$101.38
(+42%)
Market implied 42.8%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$48.28
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BHRB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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