BHRB Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS Best National Banks Stocks 2026 →

BHRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$71.00
+0.40 (+0.57%) ▲
5d: -1.25% 30d: +2.62% 90d: -3.01%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (77%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$69.14 – $71.02
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.2x FAIR
vs 7.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$79.75
+12.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$68.31 / $73.65
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BHRB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% growth. Moderate conviction.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$133.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.95
14.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BHRB is currently trading at $71.00, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.14 to $71.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BHRB is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $68.31, while resistance sits at $73.65.

Market Sentiment: BHRB scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.75 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $69.14 - $71.02
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $69.14 - $71.02
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level $68.31
Resistance Level $73.65
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($79.75)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with 40.3% revenue growth
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.18
Wall Street Target $79.75 (+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 40.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -9.6%
Profit Margin 26.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.3% premium
PE vs Historical 8.2 vs 7.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $71.92 (+1%)
2-Year Target $72.86 (+3%)
3-Year Target $73.81 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) PE COMPRESSION $71.31 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 41.3%) $486.17 (+585%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 41.3%) $200.16 (+182%)
Bear: (PE: 7.0, Growth: 41.3%) $170.14 (+140%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.01
Bull Case $112.20 (+58%)
Analyst growth 44.5%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case $102.00 (+44%)
Market implied 44.5%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case $48.01 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BHRB)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Mar 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish StockTwits user is urging shareholders to approve the upcoming merger between $BHRB and LNKB at a Special Meeting, emphasizing the importance of their vote.
Key Retail Themes: Merger approval Shareholder vote
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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