BHRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BHRB - Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock
$71.73
2.26 (3.25%)
▲
5d:
+2.84%
30d:
+4.2%
90d:
+1.79%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BHRB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BHRB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.00
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.20
13.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BHRB is currently trading at $71.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.73 to $70.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHRB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $71.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.00 (+11.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHRB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $71.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.00 (+11.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$68.73 -
$70.47
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($80.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with 22.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.73 -
$70.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.33
Resistance Level
$71.85
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.24
Wall Street Target
$80.00
(+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.6%
Profit Margin
27.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.88
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$74.04
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$75.23
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$72.16
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.2%)
$339.50
(+373%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 25.2%)
$140.78
(+96%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 25.2%)
$119.66
(+67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.05
Bull Case
$110.01
(+53%)
Analyst growth 44.0%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$100.01
(+39%)
Market implied 44.0%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$47.24
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BHRB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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