BHRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BHRB - Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock
$71.53
0.03 (0.04%)
▲
5d:
-1.31%
30d:
-3.17%
90d:
+7.82%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BHRB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BHRB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$132.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.56
13.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BHRB is currently trading at $71.53, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.25 to $73.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHRB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BHRB scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.00 (+11.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHRB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BHRB scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.00 (+11.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$71.25 -
$73.37
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($80.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with 22.3% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 62/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.25 -
$73.37
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.44
Resistance Level
$73.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.17
Wall Street Target
$80.00
(+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.6%
Profit Margin
27.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.53
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$73.55
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$74.58
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$71.18
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 27.9%)
$369.61
(+417%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 27.9%)
$149.75
(+109%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 27.9%)
$127.29
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.16
Bull Case
$111.76
(+56%)
Analyst growth 42.1%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$101.60
(+42%)
Market implied 42.1%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$48.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BHRB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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