BK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BK - Bank of New York Mellon Corporation

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$137.16
0.84 (0.62%) ▲
5d: +1.61%
30d: -0.55%
90d: +16.08%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 15, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: BK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$178.55
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.86
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BK is currently trading at $137.16, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $138.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN
Confidence Score 63.8%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($142.64)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $130.16
Resistance Level $138.63
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 20, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.23
Wall Street Target $142.64 (+4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 41.8%
Profit Margin 28.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.1% premium
PE vs Historical 14.2 vs 13.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $140.04 (+2%)
2-Year Target $142.98 (+4%)
3-Year Target $145.98 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→13) PE COMPRESSION $137.52 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 9.4%) $278.63 (+103%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 9.4%) $179.76 (+31%)
Bear: (PE: 12.1, Growth: 9.4%) $152.79 (+11%)
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 5:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 PM
đŸ”Ĩ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
J Kevin Mccarthy SELL 30000 shares 2026-04-17
Kurtis R Kurimsky SELL 5290 shares 2026-04-17
Shannon Marie Hobbs SELL 297 shares 2026-04-17

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