Black Hills (BKH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$86.96
-0.08 (-0.09%)
▼
5d:
+3.29%
30d:
+12.58%
90d:
+17.61%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (23%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$75.26 – $83.90
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.6x
STRETCHED
vs 16.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$89.21
+2.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$80.75 / $87.42
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BKH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.94
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKH is currently trading at $86.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.26 to $83.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.6) compared to its historical average (16.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $87.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BKH scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $87.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BKH scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$75.26 -
$83.90
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$75.26 -
$83.90
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$80.75
Resistance Level
$87.42
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($89.21)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.62
Wall Street Target
$89.21
(+2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.5%
Profit Margin
13.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 16.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.31
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$95.87
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$100.67
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$87.04
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.3%)
$114.50
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 7.3%)
$107.35
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 7.3%)
$91.25
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.19
Bull Case
$106.71
(+23%)
Analyst growth 11.5%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$97.01
(+12%)
Market implied 11.5%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$59.19
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BKH)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Apr 16, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message predicts a $BKH stock price of $90, while no recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish price prediction
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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