BKH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKH - Black Hills Corporation
$71.07
-0.14 (-0.20%)
▼
5d:
-4.81%
30d:
-3.69%
90d:
-5.87%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BKH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BKH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.84
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKH is currently trading at $71.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.79 to $75.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.00 (+19.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.00 (+19.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$72.79 -
$75.45
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($85.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.79 -
$75.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.79
Resistance Level
$75.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.44
Wall Street Target
$85.00
(+19.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.36
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$69.51
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$68.68
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$71.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.3%)
$114.89
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 6.3%)
$85.57
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 6.3%)
$72.74
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.80
Bull Case
$96.43
(+35%)
Analyst growth 21.4%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$87.66
(+23%)
Market implied 21.4%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$49.12
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$73.79
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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