Black Hills (BKH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKH - Black Hills Corporation
$71.30
-0.98 (-1.36%)
▼
5d:
-2.73%
30d:
-2.54%
90d:
-0.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BKH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BKH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.84
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKH is currently trading at $71.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.15 to $73.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $71.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.80 (+18.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $71.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.80 (+18.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$72.15 -
$73.80
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($84.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.15 -
$73.80
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.22
Resistance Level
$74.76
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.46
Wall Street Target
$84.80
(+18.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.6%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.52
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$69.74
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$68.97
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$71.38
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 6.3%)
$111.79
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 6.3%)
$85.68
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 6.3%)
$72.83
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.94
Bull Case
$93.07
(+31%)
Analyst growth 17.1%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$84.61
(+19%)
Market implied 17.1%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$49.15
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$73.79
(+3.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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