Black Hills (BKH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKH - Black Hills Corporation
$76.08
-0.44 (-0.58%)
▼
5d:
+7.22%
30d:
+5.26%
90d:
+0.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BKH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BKH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.47
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKH is currently trading at $76.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.93 to $73.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BKH scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BKH scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$69.93 -
$73.66
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($82.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.93 -
$73.66
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.54
Resistance Level
$77.98
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.50
Wall Street Target
$82.00
(+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.6%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.99
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$77.92
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$78.85
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.4%)
$110.22
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 6.4%)
$91.55
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 6.4%)
$77.82
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.97
Bull Case
$97.78
(+29%)
Analyst growth 16.2%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case
$88.89
(+17%)
Market implied 16.2%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$52.03
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 12, 2026 4:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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