NiSource (NI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NI - NiSource Inc.
$41.62
0.20 (0.47%)
▲
5d:
-0.11%
30d:
-0.89%
90d:
-10.74%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.74
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NI is currently trading at $41.62, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.84 to $42.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (20.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.86 (+20.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.86 (+20.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$40.84 -
$42.87
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.4% below Wall St target ($49.86)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.84 -
$42.87
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.09
Resistance Level
$42.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.38
Wall Street Target
$49.86
(+20.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.4%
Profit Margin
13.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 20.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.85
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$38.33
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$36.88
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→21)
$41.32
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.8%)
$60.14
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 9.8%)
$54.81
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 9.8%)
$46.59
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case
$55.23
(+33%)
Analyst growth 20.5%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$50.21
(+21%)
Market implied 20.5%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$28.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 20.6
Stabilization Target:
$46.42
(+12.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NI price and gamma walls.
