NiSource (NI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NI - NiSource Inc.
$42.99
0.23 (0.54%)
▲
5d:
+4.19%
30d:
+7.8%
90d:
-8.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.05
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NI is currently trading at $42.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.45 to $41.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.1) is in line with its historical norms (20.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NI scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.07 (+11.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NI scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.07 (+11.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$39.45 -
$41.69
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($48.07)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.45 -
$41.69
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.13
Resistance Level
$43.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.13
Wall Street Target
$48.07
(+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.4%
Profit Margin
13.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.1 vs 20.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.17
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$41.37
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$40.59
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$43.07
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$58.48
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 9.4%)
$56.33
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 9.4%)
$47.88
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.88
Bull Case
$56.23
(+31%)
Analyst growth 19.5%, PE expands to 25.0
Base Case
$51.12
(+19%)
Market implied 19.5%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case
$29.08
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.1 to 20.3
Stabilization Target:
$45.62
(+6.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 7:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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