NiSource (NI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NI - NiSource Inc.
$39.46
0.45 (1.17%)
▲
5d:
+0.86%
30d:
-3.67%
90d:
-17.49%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.11
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.81
0.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NI is currently trading at $39.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.67 to $41.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.3) compared to its historical average (20.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NI scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.57 (+27.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NI scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.57 (+27.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$39.67 -
$41.42
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.1% below Wall St target ($49.57)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 17% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.67 -
$41.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.42
Resistance Level
$40.76
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.31
Wall Street Target
$49.57
(+27.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.4%
Profit Margin
13.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 20.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.89
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$34.90
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$33.02
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$38.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.8%)
$60.83
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 9.8%)
$51.61
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 9.8%)
$43.87
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.88
Bull Case
$51.84
(+33%)
Analyst growth 19.9%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$47.13
(+21%)
Market implied 19.9%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$26.74
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.3 to 20.4
Stabilization Target:
$45.97
(+17.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 3:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced NI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NI price and gamma walls.
