NiSource (NI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$45.29
+0.23 (+0.51%)
▲
5d:
+1.5%
30d:
+9.85%
90d:
+7.86%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect NI Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$40.99 – $44.58
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.1x
FAIR
vs 20.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$48.22
+6.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$43.39 / $45.99
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.31
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NI is currently trading at $45.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.99 to $44.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.1) is in line with its historical norms (20.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NI scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NI scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$40.99 -
$44.58
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$40.99 -
$44.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$43.39
Resistance Level
$45.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding NI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($48.22)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.06
Wall Street Target
$48.22
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.6%
Profit Margin
13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 20.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.15
(0%)
2-Year Target
$45.02
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$44.88
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
$45.19
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.6%)
$59.62
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.6%)
$59.02
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 9.6%)
$50.17
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.95
Bull Case
$57.38
(+27%)
Analyst growth 15.8%, PE expands to 25.4
Base Case
$52.17
(+15%)
Market implied 15.8%, PE stable at 23.1
Bear Case
$30.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.1 to 20.2
Stabilization Target:
$45.60
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Share NI Analysis
Share this live NI analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NI)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 1, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The latest article suggests that NiSource's stock may be overvalued according to the Dividend Discount Model (DDM), with an intrinsic value of around $37 per share, which is below the current market price. Bullish sentiment on StockTwits remains strong.
Key Retail Themes:
DDM valuation
NiSource's stock overvaluation
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 12:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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