BLCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BLCO - Bausch + Lomb Corporation

OPHTHALMIC GOODS
$17.24
0.04 (0.23%) ▲
5d: +1.11%
30d: +7.88%
90d: +6.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BLCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.48
23.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BLCO is currently trading at $17.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.23 to $17.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BLCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.28, while resistance sits at $17.77.

Market Sentiment: BLCO scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $16.23 - $17.07
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($18.62)
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $16.23 - $17.07
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.28
Resistance Level $17.77
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.77
Wall Street Target $18.63 (+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -88.6%
Profit Margin -3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.8 vs 17.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $16.81 (-3%)
2-Year Target $16.39 (-5%)
3-Year Target $15.98 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→17) $17.23 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 36.0%) $55.22 (+220%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 36.0%) $43.38 (+152%)
Bear: (PE: 13.4, Growth: 36.0%) $36.87 (+114%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 17.0
Stabilization Target: $18.59 (+7.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.8%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
A Robert D Bailey BUY 14600 shares 2026-03-06
Brent L Saunders BUY 14700 shares 2026-03-06
Sam Eldessouky BUY 4000 shares 2026-03-06

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