BLDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLDR - Builders FirstSource, Inc.
$75.69
1.15 (1.54%)
▲
5d:
-10.63%
30d:
-2.39%
90d:
-11.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
16d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
Get Alerted When BLDR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BLDR is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BLDR is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$163.74
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.67
25.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLDR is currently trading at $75.69, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.04 to $84.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLDR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.97, while resistance sits at $90.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.38 (+28.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLDR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.97, while resistance sits at $90.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.38 (+28.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$74.04 -
$84.59
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BLDR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.7% below Wall St target ($97.38)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.04 -
$84.59
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.97
Resistance Level
$90.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.87
Wall Street Target
$97.38
(+28.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.9%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 14.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.04
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$70.48
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$68.02
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$75.56
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 37.2%)
$330.41
(+337%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 37.2%)
$195.28
(+158%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 37.2%)
$165.99
(+119%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.63
Bull Case
$163.99
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.2
Base Case
$149.08
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.3
Bear Case
$50.69
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$84.08
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BLDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
2
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Paul S Levy
BUY
50000 shares
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
Top Rated Building Products & Equipment Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Building Products & Equipment by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TT
Trane Technologies plc |
BUY
25 analysts |
$523 | 62 BUY |
|
CARR
Carrier Global Corp |
BUY
25 analysts |
$77 | 53 HOLD |
|
JCI
Johnson Controls Interna… |
BUY
22 analysts |
$155 | 58 HOLD |
|
OC
Owens Corning Inc |
BUY
18 analysts |
$155 | 57 HOLD |
|
FBIN
Fortune Brands Innovatio… |
HOLD
20 analysts |
$50 | 60 HOLD |
Advanced BLDR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BLDR price and gamma walls.
