BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. RETAIL-LUMBER & OTHER BUILDING MATERIALS DEALERS

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$62.93
-3.04 (-4.61%) â–ŧ
5d: -1.07% 30d: +20.69% 90d: -13.09%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (37%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$52.51 – $63.24
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
26.6x STRETCHED
vs 14.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$67.45
+7.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$55.07 / $70.65
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
ℹī¸ NEUTRAL: BLDR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 22.3% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

Get Alerted When BLDR Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.85
Based on -15.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.60
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BLDR is currently trading at $62.93, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.51 to $63.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.6) compared to its historical average (14.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 22.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BLDR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $55.07, while resistance sits at $70.65. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: BLDR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $52.51 - $63.24
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 36.7%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $52.51 - $63.24
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level $55.07
Resistance Level $70.65
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Protect Your Profits

Holding BLDR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($67.45)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 22.3% growth with -2.2% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.60
Wall Street Target $67.45 (+7.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -49.1%
Profit Margin 0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +22.3% premium
PE vs Historical 26.6 vs 14.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +22.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $76.96 (+22%)
2-Year Target $94.13 (+50%)
3-Year Target $115.12 (+83%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 27→15) PE COMPRESSION $63.18 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 26.6, Growth: -35.1%) $45.88 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -35.1%) $34.25 (-46%)
Bear: (PE: 14.6, Growth: -35.1%) $25.18 (-60%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 33.44 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.88
Bull Case $75.99 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 35.1
Base Case $62.93 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.4
Bear Case $48.14 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share BLDR Analysis

Share this live BLDR analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.

Reddit StockTwits X / Twitter
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BLDR)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Builders FirstSource (BLDR) shares surged after the company reported third-quarter 2026 earnings that exceeded estimates, posting adjusted EPS of $1.51 versus the anticipated $1.06.
Key Retail Themes: earnings beat stock price increase
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:20 AM
đŸ”Ĩ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
See Full Scanner Results »
Technical Signals Check

Is BLDR showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for BLDR.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Building Products & Equipment Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Building Products & Equipment by analyst ratings.

Stock Analyst Consensus Analyst Target Tradestie Score
TT
Trane Technologies plc 		BUY
26 analysts 		$520 52 HOLD
CARR
Carrier Global Corp 		BUY
26 analysts 		$69 45 HOLD
JCI
Johnson Controls Internaâ€Ļ 		BUY
22 analysts 		$175 61 BUY
SPXC
SPX Technologies, Inc. 		STRONG BUY
14 analysts 		$239 55 HOLD
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systemâ€Ļ 		STRONG BUY
11 analysts 		$182 48 HOLD
TT Trane Technologieâ€Ļ
52 HOLD
CARR Carrier Global Coâ€Ļ
45 HOLD
JCI Johnson Controls â€Ļ
61 BUY
SPXC SPX Technologies,â€Ļ
55 HOLD
WMS Advanced Drainageâ€Ļ
48 HOLD

Advanced BLDR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BLDR price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools

Part A: Deep-Dive BLDR Research Pages
BLDR Technical Chart BLDR Price Prediction BLDR Intrinsic Value DCF BLDR Earnings Date Why is BLDR Moving Today? BLDR Investment Advisor BLDR Fair Price Analyzer BLDR Options Chain BLDR Options Advisor BLDR Options Analysis BLDR Competitors
Part B: Tradestie Flagship Market Scanners
Today's Best Signals (BLDR) Sector Rotation Monitor AI Supply Chain Money Flow Gamma Squeeze (GEX) Scanner Undervalued Stocks Scanner Insider Cluster Buying Reddit & WSB Sentiment Tracker Backtested Stock Scanner
Compare BLDR with Peers
BLDR vs ATKR
Which one to buy?
BLDR vs LPX
Which one to buy?
BLDR vs TREX
Which one to buy?
BLDR vs GNRC
Which one to buy?
BLDR vs DHI
Which one to buy?
BLDR vs LOW
BLDR vs AAON
JCI vs BLDR
Winner: JCI
JCTC vs BLDR
Winner: BLDR
BLDR vs LPX
LII vs BLDR
BXC vs BLDR
Winner: BLDR
BLDR vs SPXC
BLDR vs BLD
BLDR vs GFF
Create New Comparison View All Competitors
Live Trades
From trading groups
Loading trades...
View All Live Trades See Trader Consensus & Signals