BLDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BLDR - Builders FirstSource, Inc.

RETAIL-LUMBER & OTHER BUILDING MATERIALS DEALERS
$70.21
-0.11 (-0.16%) â–ŧ
5d: -3.17%
30d: -0.48%
90d: -4.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your BLDR Gains
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 19, 2026 at $72.55 · last confirmed Aug 19, 2026

Strength: 3.6/10

Get Alerted When BLDR Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading chart...

Loading historical data...

💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: BLDR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$124.37
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.22
9.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BLDR is currently trading at $70.21, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.42 to $75.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BLDR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.52, while resistance sits at $75.50.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.71 (+15.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $69.42 - $75.11
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.5%

Protect Your Profits

Holding BLDR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($80.71)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.3% growth with -8.8% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $69.42 - $75.11
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $67.52
Resistance Level $75.50
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.72
Wall Street Target $80.71 (+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -82.9%
Profit Margin 0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.3% premium
PE vs Historical 15.7 vs 14.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $72.53 (+3%)
2-Year Target $74.92 (+7%)
3-Year Target $77.39 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→14) PE COMPRESSION $70.40 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 41.5%) $254.06 (+262%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 41.5%) $199.01 (+183%)
Bear: (PE: 13.4, Growth: 41.5%) $169.16 (+141%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 25.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.74
Bull Case $84.78 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 26.9
Base Case $70.21 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.6
Bear Case $53.71 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.
Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
đŸ”Ĩ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30
Paul S Levy BUY 50000 shares 2026-03-13
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-24

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for BLDR.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Building Products & Equipment Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Building Products & Equipment by analyst ratings.

Stock Analyst Consensus Analyst Target Tradestie Score
CARR
Carrier Global Corp
BUY
25 analysts
$78 47 HOLD
TT
Trane Technologies plc
BUY
25 analysts
$526 51 HOLD
MAS
Masco Corporation
HOLD
21 analysts
$81 64 BUY
JCI
Johnson Controls Internaâ€Ļ
BUY
22 analysts
$163 43 HOLD
FBIN
Fortune Brands Innovatioâ€Ļ
HOLD
20 analysts
$57 59 HOLD

Advanced BLDR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BLDR price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for BLDR

BLDR Technical Chart BLDR Price Prediction BLDR Earnings Date BLDR Investment Advisor BLDR Fair Price Analyzer BLDR Options Advisor BLDR Options Chain BLDR Options Analysis BLDR Competitors
Live Trades
From trading groups
Loading trades...
View All Live Trades See Trader Consensus & Signals