BLKB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLKB - Blackbaud, Inc.
$31.03
1.44 (4.87%)
▲
5d:
+6.01%
30d:
+9.49%
90d:
-9.45%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
Get Alerted When BLKB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BLKB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BLKB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.25
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.62
28.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLKB is currently trading at $31.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.21 to $29.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.3) compared to its historical average (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 650.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLKB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: BLKB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.00 (+54.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLKB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: BLKB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.00 (+54.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$27.21 -
$29.65
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 54.7% below Wall St target ($48.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.21 -
$29.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.10
Resistance Level
$31.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.29
Wall Street Target
$48.00
(+54.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
650.6%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.3 vs 8.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.93
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$25.13
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$22.62
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→8)
$34.21
(+10%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$184.04
(+493%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.3, Growth: 12.9%)
$44.70
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.5, Growth: 12.9%)
$37.99
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.95
Bull Case
$64.72
(+109%)
Analyst growth 98.8%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$58.84
(+90%)
Market implied 98.8%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$20.12
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.3 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$46.93
(+51.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+51.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BLKB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin P Gregoire
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-04
David J Benjamin
SELL
14349 shares
2026-02-24
Kevin Mcdearis
SELL
15462 shares
2026-02-23
Top Rated Software - Application Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NOW
ServiceNow Inc |
STRONG BUY
47 analysts |
$141 | 59 HOLD |
|
SHOP
Shopify Inc |
STRONG BUY
51 analysts |
$147 | 67 BUY |
|
INTU
Intuit Inc |
STRONG BUY
34 analysts |
$485 | 56 HOLD |
|
CRM
Salesforce.com Inc |
STRONG BUY
55 analysts |
$246 | 65 BUY |
|
ADSK
Autodesk Inc |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$319 | 61 BUY |
