BMBL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMBL - Bumble Inc. Class A Common Stock
$2.80
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+3.32%
30d:
+0.36%
90d:
-8.5%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BMBL appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.7% annual earnings decline despite 170% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BMBL appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.7% annual earnings decline despite 170% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.86
27.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMBL is currently trading at $2.80, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.73 to $3.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.0) compared to its historical average (3.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 169.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMBL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.58, while resistance sits at $2.89.
Market Sentiment: BMBL scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.74 (+33.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMBL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.58, while resistance sits at $2.89.
Market Sentiment: BMBL scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.74 (+33.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$2.73 -
$3.02
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.6% below Wall St target ($3.74)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 71/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.73 -
$3.02
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.58
Resistance Level
$2.89
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.98
Wall Street Target
$3.74
(+33.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
169.8%
Profit Margin
-58.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.0 vs 3.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.67
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$2.54
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$2.42
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
$2.77
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 168.6%)
$63.67
(+2174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.0, Growth: 168.6%)
$9.45
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.5, Growth: 168.6%)
$8.03
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.0 to 3.4
Stabilization Target:
$3.20
(+14.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 8:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMBL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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Advanced BMBL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BMBL price and gamma walls.
