Bumble (BMBL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BMBL - Bumble Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
$2.99
0.01 (0.34%) ▲
5d: +4.18%
30d: +14.56%
90d: +9.52%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BMBL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.86
22.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BMBL is currently trading at $2.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.69 to $2.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.2) is in line with its historical norms (3.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 169.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BMBL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.63, while resistance sits at $3.09.

Market Sentiment: BMBL scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.79 (+26.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $2.69 - $2.96
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 28.6%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.8% below Wall St target ($3.79)
  • WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $2.69 - $2.96
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.63
Resistance Level $3.09
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.18
Wall Street Target $3.79 (+26.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 169.8%
Profit Margin -58.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 3.2 vs 3.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $2.92 (-2%)
2-Year Target $2.85 (-5%)
3-Year Target $2.79 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 3→3) $2.98 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 168.6%) $63.99 (+2040%)
Base: (SPY PE: 3.2, Growth: 168.6%) $10.09 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 2.7, Growth: 168.6%) $8.58 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.2 to 3.4
Stabilization Target: $3.20 (+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.9%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
- Nq L.L.C. Btoa SELL 7477504 shares 2026-03-17
Buzz Holdings L.P. Bcp SELL 7477504 shares 2026-03-17
Bx Buzz Ml-1 Gp Llc SELL 7477504 shares 2026-03-17

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