Badger Meter (BMI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMI - Badger Meter, Inc.
$149.64
17.78 (13.48%)
▲
5d:
+17.94%
30d:
+12.51%
90d:
+18.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: BMI is 11.8% above its trading range ($133.87). Market expects 3.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: BMI is 11.8% above its trading range ($133.87). Market expects 3.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$174.26
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$108.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMI is currently trading at $149.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $124.35 to $133.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.5) compared to its historical average (27.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $150.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: BMI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $150.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: BMI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$124.35 -
$133.87
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Options IV Signal
29th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
37.3%
Protect Your Profits
BMI is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.8% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 29th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+13.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($154.12)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.7% growth with -6.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$124.35 -
$133.87
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$8.12
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.08
Resistance Level
$150.27
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.50
Wall Street Target
$154.13
(+3.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.8%
Profit Margin
14.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
30.5 vs 27.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$155.18
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$160.92
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$166.87
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$149.92
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.5, Growth: 10.6%)
$202.42
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$131.81
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$112.04
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.28
Bull Case
$166.27
(+11%)
Analyst growth 14.6%, PE expands to 33.9
Base Case
$151.16
(+1%)
Market implied 14.6%, PE stable at 30.8
Bear Case
$89.66
(-40%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 5:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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