COHR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COHR - Coherent Corp.
$319.12
-5.38 (-1.66%)
▼
5d:
-4.94%
30d:
-10.05%
90d:
+3.78%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
29d
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Smart Money Accumulation
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Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: COHR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: COHR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$399.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$248.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COHR is currently trading at $319.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $343.10 to $408.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 39.5) is in line with its historical norms (37.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COHR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $304.06, while resistance sits at $399.45.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $387.36 (+19.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COHR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $304.06, while resistance sits at $399.45.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $387.36 (+19.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$343.10 -
$408.74
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($387.36)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$343.10 -
$408.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$304.07
Resistance Level
$399.45
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
39.51
Wall Street Target
$387.36
(+19.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.0%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
39.5 vs 37.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$330.02
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$335.63
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$341.33
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→38)
PE COMPRESSION
$323.95
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.5, Growth: 50.6%)
$1095.19
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 50.6%)
$603.70
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 50.6%)
$513.14
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 37.88 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.57
Bull Case
$391.83
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 39.8
Base Case
$324.50
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 37.9
Bear Case
$248.24
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 34.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COHR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sherri R Luther
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-22
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-25
Howard H Xia
SELL
3240 shares
2026-03-17
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