COHR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COHR - Coherent Corp.
$425.48
35.91 (9.22%)
▲
5d:
+10.51%
30d:
+18.68%
90d:
+67.76%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Smart Money Distribution
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Strength: 8.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: COHR trades at premium valuation expecting 12.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: COHR trades at premium valuation expecting 12.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$398.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$247.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COHR is currently trading at $425.48, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $361.28 to $406.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 52.0) compared to its historical average (36.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COHR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $426.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COHR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $426.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$361.28 -
$406.09
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding COHR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+9.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($384.45)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 12.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$361.28 -
$406.09
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$335.48
Resistance Level
$426.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
52.04
Wall Street Target
$384.45
(-9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.0%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.2% premium
PE vs Historical
52.0 vs 36.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$477.39
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$535.63
(+26%)
3-Year Target
$600.98
(+41%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 52→37)
PE COMPRESSION
$425.02
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 52.0, Growth: 50.0%)
$1435.36
(+237%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 50.0%)
$600.79
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 50.0%)
$510.67
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 45.05 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.45
Bull Case
$513.77
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 47.3
Base Case
$425.48
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 45.1
Bear Case
$325.49
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 40.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COHR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sherri R Luther
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-22
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-25
Howard H Xia
SELL
3240 shares
2026-03-17
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Advanced COHR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COHR price and gamma walls.
