Coherent (COHR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COHR - Coherent Corp.
$305.37
12.20 (4.16%)
▲
5d:
+15.49%
30d:
-14.14%
90d:
-16.01%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
NEW THESIS The Datacenter CPU Renaissance (2026)
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Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $282.48 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: COHR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: COHR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$407.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$253.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COHR is currently trading at $305.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $277.10 to $332.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.5) is in line with its historical norms (37.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COHR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $255.25, while resistance sits at $315.70. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: COHR scores 89/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $415.36 (+36.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COHR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $255.25, while resistance sits at $315.70. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: COHR scores 89/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $415.36 (+36.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$277.10 -
$332.68
Company Quality Score
68/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (89/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 36.0% below Wall St target ($415.36)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 89/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$277.10 -
$332.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$255.25
Resistance Level
$315.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.48
Wall Street Target
$415.36
(+36.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.0%
Profit Margin
11.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.5 vs 37.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$303.54
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$301.72
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$299.91
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→37)
$305.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.5, Growth: 53.6%)
$1030.62
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 53.6%)
$569.86
(+87%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 53.6%)
$484.38
(+59%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 29.85 | Forward EPS (Implied): $10.23
Bull Case
$368.73
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 31.3
Base Case
$305.37
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 29.9
Bear Case
$233.61
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.5 to 37.1
Stabilization Target:
$310.57
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 9:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COHR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sherri R Luther
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-22
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-25
Howard H Xia
SELL
3240 shares
2026-03-17
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Advanced COHR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COHR price and gamma walls.
