What is the fair value of COHR stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for COHR to be between $268.64 and $336.14. The current price is $289.52.

What is the analyst price target for COHR?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for COHR is $416.09. This implies a potential upside of 43.7% from current levels.

COHR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

COHR - Coherent Corp.

OPTICAL INSTRUMENTS & LENSES

$289.52

-0.51 (-0.18%) ▼

5d: -11.14%

30d: -7.57%

90d: -23.41%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your COHR Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 12, 2026 0d

NEW THESIS The Datacenter CPU Renaissance (2026)

See why COHR plays a critical role in the upcoming CPU supercycle alongside GPUs. Read Deep Dive →

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 18, 2026 at $308.64 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 7.8/10

Get Alerted When COHR Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: COHR is down 11.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$407.54

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$253.05

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: COHR is currently trading at $289.52, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $268.64 to $336.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 34.6) is in line with its historical norms (37.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, COHR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $277.87, while resistance sits at $386.50.

Market Sentiment: COHR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $416.09 (+43.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $268.64 - $336.14

Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 50.0%

Protect Your Profits

Holding COHR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 43.7% below Wall St target ($416.09)
WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $268.64 - $336.14

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $277.87

Resistance Level $386.50

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 34.59

Wall Street Target $416.09 (+43.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 33.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 73.0%

Profit Margin 11.3%

Valuation Discount vs History -2.5% cheaper

PE vs Historical 34.6 vs 37.4 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $282.28 (-3%)

2-Year Target $275.22 (-5%)

3-Year Target $268.34 (-7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 35→37) $290.18 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 34.6, Growth: 53.6%) $977.13 (+238%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 53.6%) $567.03 (+96%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 53.6%) $481.98 (+67%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 28.25 | Forward EPS (Implied): $10.25

Bull Case $349.60 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 29.7

Base Case $289.52 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 28.3

Bear Case $221.48 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.6 to 37.4

Stabilization Target: $313.08 (+8.1%)

PE Expansion Potential: +8.1%

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 PM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is COHR showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Sherri R Luther SELL 2000 shares 2026-04-22

Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2026-03-25

Howard H Xia SELL 3240 shares 2026-03-17

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for COHR.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Scientific & Technical Instruments Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Scientific & Technical Instruments by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
CGNX Cognex Corporation	STRONG BUY 21 analysts	$80	46 HOLD
MKSI MKS Instruments Inc	STRONG BUY 12 analysts	$414	60 HOLD
TRMB Trimble Inc	STRONG BUY 12 analysts	$80	49 HOLD
KEYS Keysight Technologies Inc	STRONG BUY 13 analysts	$388	46 HOLD
TDY Teledyne Technologies In…	STRONG BUY 13 analysts	$757	49 HOLD

CGNX Cognex Corporation

46 HOLD

MKSI MKS Instruments I…

60 HOLD

TRMB Trimble Inc

49 HOLD

KEYS Keysight Technolo…

46 HOLD

TDY Teledyne Technolo…

49 HOLD

Advanced COHR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COHR price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for COHR

COHR Technical Chart COHR Price Prediction COHR Earnings Date COHR Investment Advisor COHR Fair Price Analyzer COHR Options Advisor COHR Options Chain COHR Options Analysis COHR Competitors

Compare COHR with Peers

COHR vs LITE
Which one to buy?

COHR vs AAOI
Which one to buy?

COHR vs CRDO
Which one to buy?

COHR vs VRT
Which one to buy?

COHR vs ALAB
Which one to buy?

TDY vs COHR
Winner: COHR

COHR vs TRMB

OPXS vs COHR

OPTXW vs COHR
Winner: COHR

AXTI vs COHR

COHR vs FTV

CIEN vs COHR
Winner: COHR

CGNX vs COHR
Winner: CGNX

ALAB vs COHR

CLS vs COHR

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie