COHR Coherent Corp. OPTICAL INSTRUMENTS & LENSES

Coherent (COHR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$214.66
-10.53 (-4.68%) ▼
5d: +3.46% 30d: -25.47% 90d: -39.64%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (86%)
Quality Score
62/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$199.84 – $296.67
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
25.6x CHEAP
vs 36.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$369.40
+72.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$160.23 / $246.90
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: COHR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
COHR is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today

SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; COHR has been on it 2 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-11-10.

See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →
NEW THESIS The Datacenter CPU Renaissance (2026)

See why COHR plays a critical role in the upcoming CPU supercycle alongside GPUs. Read Deep Dive →

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 9, 2026 at $228.73 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$407.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$253.05
15.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: COHR is currently trading at $214.66, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $199.84 to $296.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.6) compared to its historical average (36.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 60.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, COHR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $160.23, while resistance sits at $246.90. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: COHR scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $369.40 (+72.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $199.84 - $296.67
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 85.7%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $199.84 - $296.67
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level $160.23
Resistance Level $246.90
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 72.1% below Wall St target ($369.40)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.64
Wall Street Target $369.40 (+72.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 49.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 60.1%
Profit Margin 12.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -10.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 25.6 vs 36.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -10.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $193.19 (-10%)
2-Year Target $173.87 (-19%)
3-Year Target $156.49 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→36) $220.91 (+3%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.6, Growth: 53.6%) $724.48 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 53.6%) $561.10 (+161%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 53.6%) $476.94 (+122%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.83
Bull Case $429.32 (+100%)
Analyst growth 73.3%, PE expands to 51.3
Base Case $390.29 (+82%)
Market implied 73.3%, PE stable at 46.6
Bear Case $153.13 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.6 to 36.2
Stabilization Target: $303.04 (+41.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +41.2%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (COHR)

Bullish 3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: StockTwits is filled with bullish sentiment towards $COHR, with some traders targeting prices above $400. The latest Yahoo Finance news highlights Coherent as one of the best-performing S&P 500 stocks since the AI trade selloff, with AMD being the other top performer.
Key Retail Themes: Positive stock performance AI trade
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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