CGNX
Cognex Corp
INDUSTRIAL INSTRUMENTS FOR MEASUREMENT, DISPLAY, AND CONTROL
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Cognex (CGNX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$51.72
+0.92 (+1.81%)
▲
5d:
-2.53%
30d:
-13.81%
90d:
-16.03%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$52.17 – $61.24
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
25.6x
CHEAP
vs 33.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$71.42
+38.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$46.59 / $60.09
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CGNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.84
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.68
1.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CGNX is currently trading at $51.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.17 to $61.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.6) compared to its historical average (33.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 400% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.59, while resistance sits at $60.09.
Market Sentiment: CGNX scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.42 (+38.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.59, while resistance sits at $60.09.
Market Sentiment: CGNX scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.42 (+38.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$52.17 -
$61.24
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$52.17 -
$61.24
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$46.59
Resistance Level
$60.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.1% below Wall St target ($71.42)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.61
Wall Street Target
$71.42
(+38.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
400.0%
Profit Margin
21.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.6 vs 33.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.22
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$43.11
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$39.36
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→34)
$51.79
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.6, Growth: 18.1%)
$85.09
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.1%)
$65.98
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 18.1%)
$56.09
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case
$78.92
(+53%)
Analyst growth 41.2%, PE expands to 39.1
Base Case
$71.74
(+39%)
Market implied 41.2%, PE stable at 35.5
Bear Case
$34.54
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.6 to 33.7
Stabilization Target:
$68.06
(+31.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CGNX)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Cognex Corporation reported Q3 earnings and revenues that beat estimates, driven by strong demand and margin expansion across all major end markets. The company also announced the acquisition of RealSense to expand its addressable opportunities in robotics and AI-powered machine vision.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings beat
margin expansion
product innovation
strategic acquisitions
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CGNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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