CGNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CGNX - Cognex Corp
$63.91
-2.89 (-4.33%)
▼
5d:
-8.03%
30d:
+8.89%
90d:
+19.66%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CGNX is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CGNX is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.57
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CGNX is currently trading at $63.91, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.25 to $68.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.0) is in line with its historical norms (35.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.40 (+21.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.40 (+21.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$62.25 -
$68.37
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CGNX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.1% below Wall St target ($77.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.25 -
$68.37
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.50
Resistance Level
$72.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.99
Wall Street Target
$77.40
(+21.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
122.3%
Profit Margin
13.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
36.0 vs 35.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.36
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$64.81
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$65.26
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→35)
PE COMPRESSION
$63.83
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.0, Growth: 19.9%)
$110.27
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.9%)
$66.73
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 19.9%)
$56.72
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 33.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.97
Bull Case
$80.66
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 35.6
Base Case
$66.80
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.9
Bear Case
$51.10
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CGNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Angelos Papadimitriou
SELL
4150 shares
2026-02-23
Laura Ann Macdonald
SELL
14881 shares
2026-02-12
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SELL
177052 shares
2026-02-12
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