Cognex (CGNX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CGNX - Cognex Corp
$64.22
2.53 (4.10%)
▲
5d:
+5.64%
30d:
+5.85%
90d:
+3.4%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $62.34 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 5.5/10
Get Alerted When CGNX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CGNX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CGNX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.04
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CGNX is currently trading at $64.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.76 to $66.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.7) is in line with its historical norms (34.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 79.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $64.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CGNX scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.05 (+24.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $64.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CGNX scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.05 (+24.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$59.76 -
$66.28
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.7% below Wall St target ($80.05)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.76 -
$66.28
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.58
Resistance Level
$64.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.73
Wall Street Target
$80.05
(+24.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
79.2%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.7 vs 34.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.29
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$60.42
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$58.61
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→35)
$64.11
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.7, Growth: 19.7%)
$110.02
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 19.7%)
$69.94
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 19.7%)
$59.45
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 33.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.89
Bull Case
$77.55
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 35.6
Base Case
$64.22
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.9
Bear Case
$49.13
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.7 to 34.7
Stabilization Target:
$70.24
(+9.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CGNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Scientific & Technical Instruments Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Scientific & Technical Instruments by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
COHR
Coherent Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$415 | 68 BUY |
|
MKSI
MKS Instruments Inc |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$418 | 62 BUY |
|
TRMB
Trimble Inc |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$80 | 53 HOLD |
|
ST
Sensata Technologies Hol… |
HOLD
17 analysts |
$53 | 69 BUY |
|
KEYS
Keysight Technologies Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$415 | 48 HOLD |
Advanced CGNX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CGNX price and gamma walls.
