Bank of Montreal (BMO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMO - Bank of Montreal
$170.45
2.98 (1.78%)
▲
5d:
+4.17%
30d:
-2.24%
90d:
-3.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BMO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BMO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$235.05
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$145.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMO is currently trading at $170.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $164.18 to $172.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $170.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BMO scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $170.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BMO scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$164.18 -
$172.93
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($167.80)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with 12.0% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$164.18 -
$172.93
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$159.56
Resistance Level
$170.64
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.35
Wall Street Target
$167.80
(-1.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.2%
Profit Margin
25.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$173.69
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$176.99
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$180.35
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$170.72
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.7%)
$455.57
(+167%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 11.7%)
$237.49
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 11.7%)
$201.86
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.85
Bull Case
$342.70
(+101%)
Analyst growth 86.0%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$311.55
(+83%)
Market implied 86.0%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$113.88
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BMO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BMO price and gamma walls.
