BMO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMO - Bank of Montreal
$179.45
0.83 (0.46%)
▲
5d:
+0.95%
30d:
+1.06%
90d:
+17.98%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
21d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BMO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BMO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$228.58
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$141.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMO is currently trading at $179.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $174.65 to $180.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.0) compared to its historical average (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $175.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $175.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$174.65 -
$180.27
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($162.31)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$174.65 -
$180.27
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$175.19
Resistance Level
$182.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.01
Wall Street Target
$162.31
(-9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.2%
Profit Margin
28.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 9.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$188.42
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$197.84
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$207.74
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$179.17
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.3%)
$478.81
(+167%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 12.3%)
$254.40
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 12.3%)
$216.24
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.40
Bull Case
$340.55
(+90%)
Analyst growth 73.3%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$309.59
(+73%)
Market implied 73.3%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$121.46
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BMO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BMO price and gamma walls.
