BMO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMO - Bank of Montreal
$173.18
2.36 (1.38%)
▲
5d:
+2.9%
30d:
+9.74%
90d:
+29.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BMO trades at premium valuation expecting 4.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: BMO trades at premium valuation expecting 4.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$221.29
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$137.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMO is currently trading at $173.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $155.65 to $167.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.6) compared to its historical average (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $173.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BMO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $151.31. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $173.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BMO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $151.31. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$155.65 -
$167.55
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
Protect Your Profits
BMO is technically overbought (RSI 78). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 12.6% above Wall St target ($151.31)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.9% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$155.65 -
$167.55
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$163.14
Resistance Level
$173.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.63
Wall Street Target
$151.31
(-12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.2%
Profit Margin
28.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 9.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$181.67
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$190.57
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$199.91
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$172.96
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.3%)
$502.71
(+190%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 12.3%)
$245.42
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 12.3%)
$208.61
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.31
Bull Case
$328.72
(+90%)
Analyst growth 74.9%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$298.83
(+73%)
Market implied 74.9%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$116.16
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BMO price and gamma walls.
