Bank of Montreal (BMO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$173.52
+0.83 (+0.48%)
▲
5d:
-2.23%
30d:
+4.99%
90d:
-5.78%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Dec 02, 2026
20d
Protect BMO Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (59%)
Quality Score
42/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$164.67 – $173.51
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.5x
FAIR
vs 9.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$167.13
-3.2% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$170.09 / $178.91
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BMO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$234.93
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$145.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMO is currently trading at $173.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $164.67 to $173.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.5) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $170.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $170.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$164.67 -
$173.51
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$164.67 -
$173.51
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.89
(3.4%)
Support Level
$170.09
Resistance Level
$178.91
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding BMO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($167.13)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.2% growth with 12.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.49
Wall Street Target
$167.13
(-3.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.2%
Profit Margin
25.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$176.49
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$180.37
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$184.34
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$172.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.7%)
$456.04
(+164%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 11.7%)
$240.98
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 11.7%)
$204.83
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.01
Bull Case
$349.73
(+103%)
Analyst growth 82.6%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$317.93
(+84%)
Market implied 82.6%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$118.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BMO)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 25, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
BMO's stock price is expected to be positively impacted by the conversion of Moneris stake into cash, according to a bullish StockTwits user.
Key Retail Themes:
BMO's Moneris stake conversion
positive impact on stock price
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 11:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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