BOK Financial (BOKF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BOKF - BOK Financial Corp
$135.69
0.48 (0.36%)
▲
5d:
-1.21%
30d:
-6.28%
90d:
+2.64%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BOKF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BOKF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$170.53
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$105.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BOKF is currently trading at $135.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.26 to $144.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOKF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $132.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BOKF scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $152.00 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOKF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $132.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BOKF scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $152.00 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$136.26 -
$144.23
Company Quality Score
71/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($152.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$136.26 -
$144.23
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$132.52
Resistance Level
$139.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.61
Wall Street Target
$152.00
(+12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.2%
Profit Margin
28.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$134.60
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$133.53
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$132.46
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$135.52
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.4%)
$246.77
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 4.4%)
$154.26
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 4.4%)
$131.12
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.67
Bull Case
$150.01
(+11%)
Analyst growth 0.9%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$136.37
(+1%)
Market implied 0.9%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case
$91.94
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$138.83
(+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BOKF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey A Reid
SELL
1200 shares
2026-04-23
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