BRSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSP - BrightSpire Capital, Inc.
$5.25
-0.11 (-2.05%)
▼
5d:
-2.42%
30d:
-6.75%
90d:
-9.79%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BRSP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BRSP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.70
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.40
2.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSP is currently trading at $5.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.39 to $5.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSP is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+23.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSP is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+23.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.39 -
$5.59
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($6.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.39 -
$5.59
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.20
Resistance Level
$5.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.56
Wall Street Target
$6.50
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.8%
Profit Margin
-9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.16
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$5.07
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$4.99
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$5.28
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.9%)
$22.93
(+337%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 14.9%)
$7.96
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 14.9%)
$6.77
(+29%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$5.55
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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