BRSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSP - BrightSpire Capital, Inc.
$4.91
0.05 (1.03%)
▲
5d:
-1.8%
30d:
-5.76%
90d:
-13.86%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BRSP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BRSP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.00
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.97
1.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSP is currently trading at $4.91, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.90 to $5.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.5) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSP scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.34 (+29.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSP scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.34 (+29.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$4.90 -
$5.31
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.2% below Wall St target ($6.34)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.90 -
$5.31
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.80
Resistance Level
$5.11
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.52
Wall Street Target
$6.34
(+29.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.8%
Profit Margin
-8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.83
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$4.74
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$4.66
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$4.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 14.5%)
$19.69
(+301%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: 14.5%)
$7.38
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 14.5%)
$6.27
(+28%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$5.16
(+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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