BRSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSP - BrightSpire Capital, Inc.
$5.57
0.07 (1.27%)
▲
5d:
-0.36%
30d:
-2.28%
90d:
+0.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BRSP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BRSP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.79
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSP is currently trading at $5.57, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.54 to $5.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSP is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+18.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSP is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+18.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.54 -
$5.72
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($6.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.54 -
$5.72
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.42
Resistance Level
$5.72
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.86
Wall Street Target
$6.50
(+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.8%
Profit Margin
-9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.47
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$5.45
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$5.42
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$5.52
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.0%)
$23.20
(+322%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 15.0%)
$8.37
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 15.0%)
$7.11
(+29%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$5.60
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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