BANCO SANTANDER (BRASIL) SA (BSBR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSBR - BANCO SANTANDER (BRASIL) SA
$5.55
0.05 (0.91%)
▲
5d:
-0.54%
30d:
-2.8%
90d:
+2.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BSBR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BSBR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.32
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.79
4.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSBR is currently trading at $5.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.55 to $5.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.7) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.37, while resistance sits at $5.82.
Market Sentiment: BSBR scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.77 (+21.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.37, while resistance sits at $5.82.
Market Sentiment: BSBR scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.77 (+21.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.55 -
$5.87
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.9% below Wall St target ($6.77)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.55 -
$5.87
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.37
Resistance Level
$5.82
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.66
Wall Street Target
$6.77
(+21.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.8%
Profit Margin
28.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.57
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$5.58
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$5.60
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.55
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.5%)
$27.53
(+396%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 18.5%)
$9.23
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 18.5%)
$7.85
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.33
Bull Case
$12.10
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case
$11.00
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$3.74
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 7:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BSBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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