BSBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSBR - BANCO SANTANDER (BRASIL) SA
$5.39
0.04 (0.75%)
▲
5d:
+5.69%
30d:
+0.37%
90d:
-16.43%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BSBR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BSBR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.86
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.12
12.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSBR is currently trading at $5.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.16 to $5.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.5) compared to its historical average (6.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BSBR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.08 (+32.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BSBR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.08 (+32.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.16 -
$5.36
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.3% below Wall St target ($7.08)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.16 -
$5.36
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.00
Resistance Level
$5.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.54
Wall Street Target
$7.08
(+32.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Profit Margin
28.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.5 vs 6.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.03
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$4.73
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$4.44
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$5.37
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.7%)
$30.92
(+478%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.5, Growth: 13.7%)
$7.87
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.7, Growth: 13.7%)
$6.69
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.32
Bull Case
$11.86
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$10.78
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$3.67
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.5 to 6.7
Stabilization Target:
$6.47
(+20.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 4:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BSBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
16500 shares
2026-03-26
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SELL
20156 shares
2026-03-24
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SELL
12000 shares
2026-03-24
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