BANCO SANTANDER (BRASIL) SA (BSBR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSBR - BANCO SANTANDER (BRASIL) SA
$6.02
0.14 (2.38%)
▲
5d:
+0.0%
30d:
+4.7%
90d:
+12.1%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BSBR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BSBR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.20
Based on 12.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.33
4.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSBR is currently trading at $6.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.68 to $5.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.0) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BSBR scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.10 (+17.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BSBR scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.10 (+17.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.68 -
$5.90
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($7.10)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.68 -
$5.90
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.70
Resistance Level
$6.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.02
Wall Street Target
$7.10
(+17.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.8%
Profit Margin
28.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.15
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$6.28
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$6.41
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.03
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 21.3%)
$30.92
(+414%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 21.3%)
$10.76
(+79%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 21.3%)
$9.14
(+52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.35
Bull Case
$12.94
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$11.76
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$4.00
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 2:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BSBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eduardo Alvarez Garrido
SELL
16500 shares
2026-03-26
Alexandre Teixeira De Ar…
SELL
20156 shares
2026-03-24
Michele Soares Ishii
SELL
12000 shares
2026-03-24
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