BSBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSBR - BANCO SANTANDER (BRASIL) SA
$5.30
-0.18 (-3.28%)
▼
5d:
-3.46%
30d:
-8.15%
90d:
-16.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BSBR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BSBR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.66
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.00
11.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSBR is currently trading at $5.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.39 to $5.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.5) compared to its historical average (7.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.18 (+35.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.18 (+35.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.39 -
$5.81
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 35.5% below Wall St target ($7.18)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.39 -
$5.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.26
Resistance Level
$5.61
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.54
Wall Street Target
$7.18
(+35.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Profit Margin
28.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.5 vs 7.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.91
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$4.54
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$4.21
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$5.31
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$28.84
(+444%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.5, Growth: 11.3%)
$7.30
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.7, Growth: 11.3%)
$6.20
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.33
Bull Case
$12.08
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case
$10.98
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case
$3.73
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.5 to 7.0
Stabilization Target:
$6.69
(+26.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BSBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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