BSBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSBR - BANCO SANTANDER (BRASIL) SA
$5.74
0.07 (1.23%)
▲
5d:
+5.51%
30d:
+10.6%
90d:
-1.03%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BSBR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BSBR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.95
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.80
15.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSBR is currently trading at $5.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.14 to $5.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.6) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BSBR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.10 (+23.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BSBR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.10 (+23.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.14 -
$5.47
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.7% below Wall St target ($7.10)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.14 -
$5.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.95
Resistance Level
$5.81
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.64
Wall Street Target
$7.10
(+23.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.8%
Profit Margin
28.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.76
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$5.79
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$5.81
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.78
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 24.3%)
$34.40
(+499%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 24.3%)
$11.02
(+92%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 24.3%)
$9.37
(+63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.35
Bull Case
$12.47
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$11.34
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$3.86
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BSBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
16500 shares
2026-03-26
Alexandre Teixeira De Ar…
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20156 shares
2026-03-24
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SELL
12000 shares
2026-03-24
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