BANCO SANTANDER (BRASIL) SA (BSBR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSBR - BANCO SANTANDER (BRASIL) SA
$5.40
0.07 (1.31%)
▲
5d:
-6.25%
30d:
-8.32%
90d:
+2.08%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BSBR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BSBR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.20
Based on 12.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.33
14.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSBR is currently trading at $5.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.63 to $5.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.3) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 49.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BSBR scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.77 (+25.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BSBR scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.77 (+25.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.63 -
$5.95
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.3% below Wall St target ($6.77)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.63 -
$5.95
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.27
Resistance Level
$5.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.29
Wall Street Target
$6.77
(+25.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.8%
Profit Margin
28.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.3 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.31
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$5.23
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$5.14
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$5.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 21.3%)
$31.27
(+479%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 21.3%)
$9.65
(+79%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 21.3%)
$8.20
(+52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.32
Bull Case
$11.73
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case
$10.66
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$3.62
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 6.6
Stabilization Target:
$5.66
(+4.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 4:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:43 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BSBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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