BTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTI - British American Tobacco p.l.c. American Depositary Shares, American Depositary Shares, each representing one Ordinary Share
$60.72
1.82 (3.09%)
▲
5d:
-0.56%
30d:
-7.62%
90d:
+4.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Get Alerted When BTI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BTI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BTI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.77
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTI is currently trading at $60.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.37 to $64.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTI is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $62.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.54 (+14.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTI is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $62.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.54 (+14.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$59.37 -
$64.49
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($67.54)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.37 -
$64.49
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.23
Resistance Level
$62.49
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.21
Wall Street Target
$67.54
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Profit Margin
30.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.37
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$57.84
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$57.32
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$58.81
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.5%)
$146.16
(+148%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 8.5%)
$75.23
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 8.5%)
$63.94
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.69
Bull Case
$72.60
(+23%)
Analyst growth 12.0%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$66.00
(+12%)
Market implied 12.0%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$40.06
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$60.42
(+2.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Tobacco Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Tobacco by analyst ratings.
