BTI
British American Tobacco p.l.c. American Depositary Shares, American Depositary Shares, each representing one Ordinary Share
Cigarettes
BTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$61.05
+0.23 (+0.38%)
â˛
5d:
-3.05%
30d:
+9.7%
90d:
+6.45%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (66%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$55.98 â $61.67
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.7x
FAIR
vs 11.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$70.37
+15.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$59.95 / $64.35
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BTI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.17
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTI is currently trading at $61.05, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.98 to $61.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.37 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.37 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$55.98 -
$61.67
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$55.98 -
$61.67
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$59.95
Resistance Level
$64.35
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.37)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 1.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.70
Wall Street Target
$70.37
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.6%
Profit Margin
25.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 11.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.72
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$62.40
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$63.09
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$60.94
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.7%)
$132.93
(+118%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 8.7%)
$78.30
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 8.7%)
$66.56
(+9%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.90
Bull Case
$89.52
(+47%)
Analyst growth 33.8%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$81.38
(+33%)
Market implied 33.8%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$41.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BTI)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on BTI are bullish (sentiment score +0.64) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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