Burford Capital (BUR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$3.65
-0.06 (-1.62%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.69%
30d:
+4.89%
90d:
-16.67%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (43%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$3.21 â $3.74
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
6.0x
FAIR
vs 6.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$8.49
+132.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3.28 / $4.37
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BUR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.27
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUR is currently trading at $3.65, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.21 to $3.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.0) is in line with its historical norms (6.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.28, while resistance sits at $4.37.
Market Sentiment: BUR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.49 (+132.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.28, while resistance sits at $4.37.
Market Sentiment: BUR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.49 (+132.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$3.21 -
$3.74
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$3.21 -
$3.74
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$3.28
Resistance Level
$4.37
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 132.6% below Wall St target ($8.49)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.02
Wall Street Target
$8.49
(+132.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
127.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 6.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.61
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$3.56
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$3.52
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6â6)
$3.63
(-1%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.0 to 6.2
Stabilization Target:
$3.76
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BUR)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 21, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A new bullish shareholder has joined the $BUR community.
Key Retail Themes:
New shareholder
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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