BUR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUR - Burford Capital Limited
$4.19
-0.05 (-1.18%)
▼
5d:
-1.64%
30d:
-5.63%
90d:
-4.77%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BUR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BUR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.10
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUR is currently trading at $4.19, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.15 to $4.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.8) is in line with its historical norms (6.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.91, while resistance sits at $4.54.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.67 (+107.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.91, while resistance sits at $4.54.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.67 (+107.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$4.15 -
$4.46
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 107.0% below Wall St target ($8.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.15 -
$4.46
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.91
Resistance Level
$4.54
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.78
Wall Street Target
$8.67
(+107.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-75.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 6.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.15
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$4.11
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$4.07
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$4.22
(+1%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 6.0
Stabilization Target:
$4.35
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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