BUR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUR - Burford Capital Limited
$4.31
0.05 (1.17%)
▲
5d:
-1.37%
30d:
+3.86%
90d:
-8.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BUR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BUR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.53
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUR is currently trading at $4.31, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.11 to $4.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (6.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.14, while resistance sits at $4.51.
Market Sentiment: BUR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.67 (+101.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.14, while resistance sits at $4.51.
Market Sentiment: BUR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.67 (+101.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$4.11 -
$4.35
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 101.2% below Wall St target ($8.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.9% growth with -37.2% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.11 -
$4.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.14
Resistance Level
$4.52
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.00
Wall Street Target
$8.67
(+101.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-37.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.9% premium
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 6.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.74
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$5.21
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$5.72
(+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.29
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 7:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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