Burford Capital (BUR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUR - Burford Capital Limited
$4.35
-0.03 (-0.68%)
▼
5d:
+1.16%
30d:
-0.68%
90d:
+2.35%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BUR trades at premium valuation expecting 9.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: BUR trades at premium valuation expecting 9.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.62
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUR is currently trading at $4.35, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.24 to $4.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.2) compared to its historical average (6.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.09, while resistance sits at $4.49.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.71 (+100.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.09, while resistance sits at $4.49.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.71 (+100.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.24 -
$4.40
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 100.3% below Wall St target ($8.71)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.8% growth with -37.2% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (48/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.24 -
$4.40
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.09
Resistance Level
$4.49
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.18
Wall Street Target
$8.72
(+100.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-37.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.8% premium
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 6.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.78
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$5.24
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$5.76
(+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.37
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 10:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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