Burford Capital (BUR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUR - Burford Capital Limited
$3.05
-0.03 (-0.97%)
▼
5d:
-7.29%
30d:
-25.61%
90d:
-26.51%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BUR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BUR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.71
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUR is currently trading at $3.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.29 to $4.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.7) is in line with its historical norms (6.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.86, while resistance sits at $3.60.
Market Sentiment: BUR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.71 (+185.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.86, while resistance sits at $3.60.
Market Sentiment: BUR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.71 (+185.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.29 -
$4.00
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 185.7% below Wall St target ($8.71)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 13% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.29 -
$4.00
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.86
Resistance Level
$3.61
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.72
Wall Street Target
$8.72
(+185.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-37.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 6.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.96
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$2.87
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$2.78
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$3.07
(+1%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.7 to 6.3
Stabilization Target:
$3.36
(+10.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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