BUR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUR - Burford Capital Limited
$4.28
-0.25 (-5.52%)
▼
5d:
+0.23%
30d:
-8.35%
90d:
-44.42%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BUR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BUR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.10
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUR is currently trading at $4.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.32 to $4.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.9) is in line with its historical norms (6.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.11, while resistance sits at $4.66. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.67 (+102.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.11, while resistance sits at $4.66. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.67 (+102.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.32 -
$4.63
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 102.6% below Wall St target ($8.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.32 -
$4.63
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.11
Resistance Level
$4.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.90
Wall Street Target
$8.67
(+102.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-75.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.9 vs 6.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.26
(0%)
2-Year Target
$4.25
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$4.23
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$4.30
(+0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.9 to 6.0
Stabilization Target:
$4.35
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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