Burford Capital (BUR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUR - Burford Capital Limited
$3.82
-0.10 (-2.55%)
▼
5d:
+5.23%
30d:
-9.26%
90d:
-10.33%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BUR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BUR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.71
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUR is currently trading at $3.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.89 to $4.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.2) compared to its historical average (6.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.57, while resistance sits at $4.17.
Market Sentiment: BUR scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.71 (+128.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.57, while resistance sits at $4.17.
Market Sentiment: BUR scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.71 (+128.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.89 -
$4.39
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 128.1% below Wall St target ($8.71)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.6% growth with -37.2% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 22% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.89 -
$4.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.57
Resistance Level
$4.18
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.16
Wall Street Target
$8.72
(+128.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-37.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 6.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.00
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$4.18
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$4.37
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.85
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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