BWB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWB - Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. Common Stock
$21.63
0.08 (0.37%)
â˛
5d:
-2.7%
30d:
+5.93%
90d:
+14.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BWB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BWB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.41
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWB is currently trading at $21.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.80 to $22.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BWB scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (12th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+11.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BWB scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (12th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+11.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$20.80 -
$22.08
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
12th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BWB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 12th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.80 -
$22.08
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$0.79
(3.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.23
Resistance Level
$22.62
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.20
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Profit Margin
35.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.47
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$23.35
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$24.26
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â9)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.64
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.2%)
$65.08
(+201%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 15.2%)
$33.08
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 15.2%)
$28.12
(+30%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.83
Bull Case
$27.46
(+27%)
Analyst growth 15.8%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$24.97
(+15%)
Market implied 15.8%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$14.65
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BWB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BWB price and gamma walls.
