Bowman Consulting Group (BWMN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWMN - Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. Common Stock
$42.70
-0.08 (-0.19%)
▼
5d:
+0.23%
30d:
+0.45%
90d:
+57.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BWMN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BWMN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.77
8.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWMN is currently trading at $42.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.47 to $42.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.2) compared to its historical average (15.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWMN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWMN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$42.47 -
$42.68
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($43.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.3% growth with 19.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.47 -
$42.68
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.58
Resistance Level
$42.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.22
Wall Street Target
$43.00
(+0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.8%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 15.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.11
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$45.56
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$47.07
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.4%)
$101.89
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 27.4%)
$88.36
(+107%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 27.4%)
$75.11
(+76%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 29.85 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.43
Bull Case
$51.56
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 31.3
Base Case
$42.70
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 29.9
Bear Case
$32.67
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 10, 2026 6:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BWMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gary Bowman
SELL
7500 shares
2026-04-22
Gary Bowman
SELL
12500 shares
2026-04-22
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