BWMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BWMN - Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. Common Stock

SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES
$42.61
0.06 (0.14%) ▲
5d: +0.73%
30d: +61.59%
90d: +37.1%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BWMN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.09
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.63
8.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BWMN is currently trading at $42.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.55 to $39.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BWMN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $42.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: BWMN scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $24.55 - $39.82
Company Quality Score 32/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 22.4%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.0% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.40)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.2% growth with 19.7% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $24.55 - $39.82
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $42.15
Resistance Level $42.64
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.88
Wall Street Target $42.40 (-0.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -58.8%
Profit Margin 1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.2% premium
PE vs Historical 16.9 vs 15.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $43.97 (+3%)
2-Year Target $45.38 (+7%)
3-Year Target $46.83 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→15) PE COMPRESSION $42.74 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 24.6%) $98.00 (+130%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 24.6%) $82.40 (+93%)
Bear: (PE: 14.3, Growth: 24.6%) $70.04 (+64%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 29.85 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.43
Bull Case $51.45 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 31.3
Base Case $42.61 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 29.9
Bear Case $32.60 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:11 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gary Bowman SELL 7500 shares 2026-04-22
Gary Bowman SELL 12500 shares 2026-04-22

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