BXC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BXC - BlueLinx Holdings Inc.
$55.76
1.53 (2.82%)
▲
5d:
+4.03%
30d:
+0.4%
90d:
-2.6%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BXC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BXC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.46
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.83
20.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BXC is currently trading at $55.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.17 to $60.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.1) is in line with its historical norms (26.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $48.76, while resistance sits at $63.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.33 (+31.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $48.76, while resistance sits at $63.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.33 (+31.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$52.17 -
$60.09
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.5% below Wall St target ($73.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.17 -
$60.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.76
Resistance Level
$63.62
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.14
Wall Street Target
$73.33
(+31.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.3%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.1 vs 26.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.86
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$52.03
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$50.26
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→27)
$55.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.1, Growth: 155.2%)
$188.19
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 155.2%)
$169.80
(+205%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 155.2%)
$144.33
(+159%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.1 to 26.8
Stabilization Target:
$61.91
(+11.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 6:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BXC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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