BXSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BXSL - Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
$24.76
0.09 (0.36%)
▲
5d:
+0.32%
30d:
+7.05%
90d:
+5.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BXSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BXSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.90
Based on -2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BXSL is currently trading at $24.76, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.22 to $24.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.22 -
$24.40
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.57)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with -7.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.22 -
$24.40
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.05
Resistance Level
$25.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.68
Wall Street Target
$24.57
(-0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.0%
Profit Margin
21.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 9.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.38
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$26.01
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$26.66
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.78
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -9.5%)
$38.09
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: -9.5%)
$18.38
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: -9.5%)
$15.62
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$54.21
(+119%)
Analyst growth 99.8%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case
$49.28
(+99%)
Market implied 99.8%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$16.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 8:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BXSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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