BXSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BXSL - Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
$23.37
-0.24 (-1.02%)
▼
5d:
-1.64%
30d:
-5.46%
90d:
+1.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BXSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BXSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.80
Based on -2.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BXSL is currently trading at $23.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.63 to $24.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.0) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.63 -
$24.73
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.66)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.63 -
$24.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.36
Resistance Level
$24.42
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.01
Wall Street Target
$24.66
(+5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.0%
Profit Margin
21.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.30
(0%)
2-Year Target
$23.23
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$23.16
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$23.40
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -8.8%)
$39.05
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: -8.8%)
$17.71
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: -8.8%)
$15.05
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.29
Bull Case
$51.94
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$47.22
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$16.05
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$23.61
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BXSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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