BXSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BXSL - Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
$23.92
-0.06 (-0.25%)
▼
5d:
-2.72%
30d:
-3.08%
90d:
+0.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BXSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BXSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.46
Based on -2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BXSL is currently trading at $23.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.37 to $24.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BXSL scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BXSL scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.37 -
$24.95
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.66)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with -7.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.37 -
$24.95
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.47
Resistance Level
$25.34
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.27
Wall Street Target
$24.66
(+3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.0%
Profit Margin
21.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.09
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$24.26
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$24.43
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.97
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -9.2%)
$39.36
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: -9.2%)
$17.89
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: -9.2%)
$15.21
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.27
Bull Case
$52.76
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$47.96
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$16.31
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BXSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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