BXSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BXSL - Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
$23.65
0.43 (1.85%)
▲
5d:
-0.46%
30d:
+0.42%
90d:
-3.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BXSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BXSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.40
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BXSL is currently trading at $23.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.45 to $23.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BXSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BXSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.45 -
$23.87
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.60)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with -9.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.45 -
$23.87
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.15
Resistance Level
$24.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.95
Wall Street Target
$24.60
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-83.5%
Profit Margin
31.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.24
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$23.27
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$23.29
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.15
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -5.1%)
$48.33
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: -5.1%)
$19.87
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: -5.1%)
$16.89
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.91
Bull Case
$35.27
(+52%)
Analyst growth 35.8%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$32.06
(+38%)
Market implied 35.8%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$16.05
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BXSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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