BXSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BXSL - Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
$23.37
-0.07 (-0.30%)
▼
5d:
+0.69%
30d:
-2.34%
90d:
+1.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BXSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BXSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.56
Based on -1.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BXSL is currently trading at $23.37, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.32 to $23.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BXSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BXSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$23.32 -
$23.99
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with -9.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.32 -
$23.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.98
Resistance Level
$24.71
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.10
Wall Street Target
$24.50
(+4.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-83.5%
Profit Margin
31.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.51
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$23.65
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$23.79
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.28
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -6.2%)
$46.15
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: -6.2%)
$19.28
(-18%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: -6.2%)
$16.39
(-30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.91
Bull Case
$34.17
(+46%)
Analyst growth 34.5%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$31.07
(+33%)
Market implied 34.5%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$15.71
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BXSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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