CART Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CART - Maplebear Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$44.27
-0.28 (-0.63%) ▼
5d: +7.33%
30d: +7.19%
90d: +19.88%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your CART Gains
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CART shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.31
Based on 13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.59
17.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CART is currently trading at $44.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.95 to $42.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 53.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CART is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.89, while resistance sits at $47.13.

Market Sentiment: CART has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.00 (+12.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $39.95 - $42.83
Company Quality Score 69/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($50.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $39.95 - $42.83
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $39.89
Resistance Level $47.13
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.88
Wall Street Target $50.00 (+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 53.5%
Profit Margin 12.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.9 vs 15.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $43.47 (-2%)
2-Year Target $42.69 (-4%)
3-Year Target $41.92 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→16) $44.24 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.5%) $119.15 (+169%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 22.5%) $81.38 (+84%)
Bear: (PE: 12.6, Growth: 22.5%) $69.17 (+56%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.80
Bull Case $81.02 (+83%)
Analyst growth 65.3%, PE expands to 27.2
Base Case $73.65 (+66%)
Market implied 65.3%, PE stable at 24.8
Bear Case $30.29 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 15.7
Stabilization Target: $46.72 (+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.5%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
10
Buys
3
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lisa Blackwood-Kapral SELL 9390 shares 2026-04-15
Lisa Blackwood-Kapral SELL 9390 shares 2026-03-16
Morgan Fong SELL 126083 shares 2026-03-11

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