CATY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CATY - Cathay General Bancorp
$60.89
0.94 (1.57%)
▲
5d:
+1.3%
30d:
+6.36%
90d:
+25.01%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CATY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CATY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$73.62
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CATY is currently trading at $60.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.78 to $59.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CATY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $61.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CATY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $61.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$56.78 -
$59.75
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($57.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.78 -
$59.75
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.25
Resistance Level
$61.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.33
Wall Street Target
$57.40
(-5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.6%
Profit Margin
43.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 9.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.96
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$65.10
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$67.31
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$61.27
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.7%)
$160.64
(+164%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 7.7%)
$76.17
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 7.7%)
$64.74
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.85
Bull Case
$80.17
(+32%)
Analyst growth 21.6%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$72.88
(+20%)
Market implied 21.6%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$40.77
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CATY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
2
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chang Liu
SELL
4836 shares
2026-04-06
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
Thomas M Lo
SELL
1000 shares
2026-01-29
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