CBFV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CBFV - CB Financial Services, Inc. (PA)

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$36.30
-0.11 (-0.30%) ▼
5d: -4.6%
30d: -1.87%
90d: -0.74%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026 14d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CBFV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.38
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.66
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CBFV is currently trading at $36.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.65 to $38.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CBFV is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $35.65 - $38.12
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($39.67)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $35.65 - $38.12
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $35.73
Resistance Level $38.86
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.94
Wall Street Target $39.67 (+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 108.6%
Profit Margin 15.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.7% premium
PE vs Historical 10.9 vs 10.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $36.55 (+1%)
2-Year Target $36.81 (+1%)
3-Year Target $37.07 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→11) PE COMPRESSION $36.24 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.7%) $95.38 (+163%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 9.7%) $47.93 (+32%)
Bear: (PE: 9.3, Growth: 9.7%) $40.74 (+12%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.30
Bull Case $80.10 (+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.8
Base Case $72.82 (+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.0
Bear Case $24.76 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen Cobain SELL 1792 shares 2026-03-05
Charles R Guthrie SELL 1913 shares 2026-02-06

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