CBT Cabot Corporation MISCELLANEOUS CHEMICAL PRODUCTS

Cabot (CBT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$72.23
+0.04 (+0.06%) ▲
5d: -3.82% 30d: -4.29% 90d: -16.27%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (77%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$72.65 – $75.64
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.4x CHEAP
vs 11.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$85.33
+18.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$70.36 / $76.51
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CBT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.91
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.46
3.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CBT is currently trading at $72.23, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.65 to $75.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 58.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CBT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.33 (+18.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $72.65 - $75.64
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $72.65 - $75.64
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $70.36
Resistance Level $76.51
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($85.33)
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.37
Wall Street Target $85.33 (+18.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 58.0%
Profit Margin 5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.4 vs 11.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $68.33 (-5%)
2-Year Target $64.64 (-11%)
3-Year Target $61.15 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→11) $72.45 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.0%) $203.58 (+182%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 10.0%) $96.03 (+33%)
Bear: (PE: 8.0, Growth: 10.0%) $81.63 (+13%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.02
Bull Case $152.30 (+111%)
Analyst growth 91.8%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case $138.45 (+92%)
Market implied 91.8%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case $49.09 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 11.1
Stabilization Target: $85.58 (+18.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +18.5%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CBT)

Bullish 3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Investors on StockTwits express bullish sentiment towards $CBT, with some citing the company's strong earnings history and attractive valuation. No recent news articles were found.
Key Retail Themes: strong earnings history attractive valuation
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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