ST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ST - Sensata Technologies Holding plc
$46.29
-1.70 (-3.54%)
▼
5d:
+1.27%
30d:
-0.56%
90d:
+11.17%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.40
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ST is currently trading at $46.29, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.52 to $47.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.51, while resistance sits at $51.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: ST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.73 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.51, while resistance sits at $51.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: ST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.73 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$44.52 -
$47.94
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($52.73)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.52 -
$47.94
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.51
Resistance Level
$51.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.29
Wall Street Target
$52.73
(+13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.5%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.82
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$49.40
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$51.03
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.1%)
$110.50
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 9.1%)
$60.17
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 9.1%)
$51.15
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 12.33 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.75
Bull Case
$55.90
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$46.29
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$35.41
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2913 shares
2026-04-07
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2480 shares
2026-03-18
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2496 shares
2026-02-12
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