Sensata Technologies (ST) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ST - Sensata Technologies Holding plc
$43.44
1.25 (2.95%)
▲
5d:
+3.37%
30d:
-5.88%
90d:
-12.87%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.76
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ST is currently trading at $43.44, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.65 to $46.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ST scores 81/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.91 (+25.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ST scores 81/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.91 (+25.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$41.65 -
$46.08
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (81/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.4% below Wall St target ($52.91)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 81/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.65 -
$46.08
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.25
Resistance Level
$44.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.30
Wall Street Target
$52.91
(+25.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
70.7%
Profit Margin
2.4%
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.19
(0%)
2-Year Target
$42.19
(0%)
3-Year Target
$42.19
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.19
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.0%)
$106.87
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 9.0%)
$54.58
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$46.39
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 11.29 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.74
Bull Case
$50.94
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case
$42.19
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$32.28
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 3:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2913 shares
2026-04-07
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2480 shares
2026-03-18
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