Sensata Technologies (ST) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ST - Sensata Technologies Holding plc
$42.28
0.28 (0.67%)
▲
5d:
+2.7%
30d:
+0.28%
90d:
-7.32%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.92
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ST is currently trading at $42.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.25 to $42.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ST scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.30 (+26.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ST scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.30 (+26.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$41.25 -
$42.82
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.1% below Wall St target ($53.30)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.25 -
$42.82
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.77
Resistance Level
$43.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.35
Wall Street Target
$53.30
(+26.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
70.7%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.36
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$42.45
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$42.53
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.31
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.5%)
$103.68
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 8.5%)
$54.06
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 8.5%)
$45.95
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.27 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.12
Bull Case
$51.05
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.8
Base Case
$42.28
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$32.34
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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