ST
Sensata Technologies Holding plc
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Sensata Technologies (ST) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$40.35
-0.28 (-0.69%)
▼
5d:
-3.1%
30d:
-4.16%
90d:
-12.57%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
61/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$40.31 – $42.66
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.9x
FAIR
vs 10.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$52.80
+30.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$38.13 / $42.41
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: ST shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.77
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ST is currently trading at $40.35, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.31 to $42.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 70.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.13, while resistance sits at $42.41.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.80 (+30.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.13, while resistance sits at $42.41.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.80 (+30.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$40.31 -
$42.66
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$40.31 -
$42.66
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$38.13
Resistance Level
$42.41
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.9% below Wall St target ($52.80)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (57/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.91
Wall Street Target
$52.80
(+30.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
70.7%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.87
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$39.39
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$38.91
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$40.45
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.6%)
$92.51
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 4.6%)
$46.15
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 4.6%)
$39.23
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.50
Bull Case
$72.80
(+80%)
Analyst growth 62.9%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$66.18
(+64%)
Market implied 62.9%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$27.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$41.94
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ST)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Trader on StockTwits expresses bullish sentiment ahead of $ST's earnings release, citing a strong earnings history. No recent news articles were identified.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings expectations
trader sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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