ST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ST - Sensata Technologies Holding plc
$51.70
1.07 (2.11%)
▲
5d:
+2.58%
30d:
+8.29%
90d:
+55.82%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ST trades at premium valuation expecting 8.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ST trades at premium valuation expecting 8.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.39
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ST is currently trading at $51.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.06 to $51.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$48.06 -
$51.56
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($51.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.6% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.06 -
$51.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.82
Resistance Level
$52.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.78
Wall Street Target
$51.00
(-1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.5%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 10.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.15
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$60.97
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$66.22
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$51.82
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$114.10
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$66.95
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 9.0%)
$52.39
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.57 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.81
Bull Case
$62.43
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$51.70
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$39.55
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2913 shares
2026-04-07
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2480 shares
2026-03-18
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2496 shares
2026-02-12
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