Sensata Technologies (ST) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ST - Sensata Technologies Holding plc
$42.35
0.79 (1.90%)
▲
5d:
+3.14%
30d:
+3.34%
90d:
-6.59%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ST is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ST is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.49
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ST is currently trading at $42.35, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.38 to $42.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.30 (+25.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.30 (+25.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$41.38 -
$42.57
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.9% below Wall St target ($53.30)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (52/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.38 -
$42.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.63
Resistance Level
$42.56
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.34
Wall Street Target
$53.30
(+25.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
70.7%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.39
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$42.43
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$42.48
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.31
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.8%)
$107.51
(+154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 8.8%)
$54.50
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 8.8%)
$46.32
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.27 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.12
Bull Case
$51.14
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.8
Base Case
$42.35
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$32.40
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 8:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2913 shares
2026-04-07
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