City (CHCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHCO - City Holding Co
$142.01
-1.39 (-0.97%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.23%
30d:
+1.37%
90d:
-1.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CHCO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CHCO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$163.76
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHCO is currently trading at $142.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $139.69 to $142.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $144.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $144.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$139.69 -
$142.97
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($142.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$139.69 -
$142.97
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$137.73
Resistance Level
$144.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.70
Wall Street Target
$142.40
(+0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Profit Margin
41.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$144.85
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$147.75
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$150.70
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$142.49
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.1%)
$216.39
(+52%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 4.1%)
$160.18
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 4.1%)
$136.15
(-4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.14
Bull Case
$166.71
(+17%)
Analyst growth 5.7%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$151.56
(+7%)
Market implied 5.7%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$97.51
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 10:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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