City (CHCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHCO - City Holding Co
$143.96
0.31 (0.22%)
▲
5d:
-0.68%
30d:
-2.21%
90d:
+12.0%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHCO is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CHCO is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$157.39
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHCO is currently trading at $143.96, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $143.45 to $146.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $141.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $141.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$143.45 -
$146.18
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($140.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$143.45 -
$146.18
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$141.72
Resistance Level
$146.45
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.03
Wall Street Target
$140.40
(-2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Profit Margin
41.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$148.42
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$153.02
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$157.77
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$143.83
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 3.4%)
$213.68
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 3.4%)
$159.20
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 3.4%)
$135.32
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.11
Bull Case
$166.17
(+15%)
Analyst growth 5.2%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$151.06
(+5%)
Market implied 5.2%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$97.68
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 6:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Javier A Reyes
BUY
103 shares
2026-04-20
Robert D Fisher
BUY
133 shares
2026-04-20
Diane W Strong-Treister
BUY
119 shares
2026-04-20
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