CHD Church & Dwight Co., Inc. SOAP, DETERGENTS, CLEANG PREPARATIONS, PERFUMES, COSMETICS

Church & Dwight (CHD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$111.76
+0.45 (+0.40%) ▲
5d: +2.38% 30d: +11.91% 90d: +10.39%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$99.18 – $109.55
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
27.6x FAIR
vs 24.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$110.28
-1.3% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$103.81 / $114.64
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CHD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.41
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.35
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CHD is currently trading at $111.76, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.18 to $109.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.6) compared to its historical average (24.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CHD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CHD scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $99.18 - $109.55
Company Quality Score 34/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $99.18 - $109.55
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $103.81
Resistance Level $114.64
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($110.28)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 27.57
Wall Street Target $110.28 (-1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 18.7%
Profit Margin 12.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.5% premium
PE vs Historical 27.6 vs 24.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $116.79 (+5%)
2-Year Target $122.04 (+9%)
3-Year Target $127.54 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 28→24) PE COMPRESSION $111.96 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 27.6, Growth: 7.4%) $138.52 (+24%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.4%) $99.80 (-11%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 7.4%) $84.83 (-24%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.32
Bull Case $149.52 (+34%)
Analyst growth 22.1%, PE expands to 36.9
Base Case $135.93 (+22%)
Market implied 22.1%, PE stable at 33.5
Bear Case $75.69 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CHD)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Church & Dwight (CHD) reported stronger-than-expected Q3 earnings and revenue, driving shares higher.
Key Retail Themes: earnings beat revenue growth margin gains
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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