Chimera Investment (CIM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CIM - Chimera Investment Corp.
$9.37
-0.16 (-1.68%)
▼
5d:
-9.99%
30d:
-17.08%
90d:
-28.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CIM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CIM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.67
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.35
9.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CIM is currently trading at $9.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.40 to $11.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.5) compared to its historical average (5.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CIM scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.17 (+51.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CIM scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.17 (+51.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.40 -
$11.62
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.2% below Wall St target ($14.17)
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.40 -
$11.62
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.13
Resistance Level
$11.23
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.49
Wall Street Target
$14.17
(+51.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.5%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.5 vs 5.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.56
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$7.83
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$7.15
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$9.40
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.5%)
$54.45
(+481%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.5, Growth: 8.5%)
$11.98
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: 8.5%)
$10.18
(+9%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.5 to 5.9
Stabilization Target:
$12.32
(+31.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 7:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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