Chimera Investment (CIM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$6.84
-0.15 (-2.15%)
▼
5d:
-21.2%
30d:
-21.92%
90d:
-42.33%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$7.75 – $8.93
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
3.4x
CHEAP
vs 5.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$14.17
+102.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$6.96 / $8.79
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CIM is down 21.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.53
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.02
24.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CIM is currently trading at $6.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.75 to $8.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.4) compared to its historical average (5.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CIM scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.17 (+102.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CIM scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.17 (+102.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.75 -
$8.93
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$7.75 -
$8.93
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$6.96
Resistance Level
$8.79
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 102.7% below Wall St target ($14.17)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.37
Wall Street Target
$14.17
(+102.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.5%
Profit Margin
-299.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.4 vs 5.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.29
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$5.66
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.10
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→6)
$8.62
(+23%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.4%)
$46.90
(+571%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.4, Growth: 4.4%)
$7.95
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.9, Growth: 4.4%)
$6.76
(-3%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.4 to 5.7
Stabilization Target:
$11.83
(+69.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+69.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CIM)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 19, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment prevails on StockTwits regarding $CIM, with one user predicting a dividend trim in August. No recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes:
Dividend cuts
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 1:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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