Chimera Investment (CIM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CIM - Chimera Investment Corp.
$8.48
0.24 (2.91%)
▲
5d:
-0.82%
30d:
-21.12%
90d:
-32.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CIM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CIM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.78
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.18
7.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CIM is currently trading at $8.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.62 to $10.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.0) compared to its historical average (5.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.11, while resistance sits at $9.09.
Market Sentiment: CIM scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.17 (+71.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.11, while resistance sits at $9.09.
Market Sentiment: CIM scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.17 (+71.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.62 -
$10.66
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 71.9% below Wall St target ($14.17)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.62 -
$10.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.11
Resistance Level
$9.09
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.97
Wall Street Target
$14.17
(+71.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.5%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.0 vs 5.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.42
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.67
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.01
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$8.77
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.4%)
$46.90
(+469%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.0, Growth: 4.4%)
$9.38
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.4, Growth: 4.4%)
$7.97
(-3%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.0 to 5.8
Stabilization Target:
$12.04
(+46.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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