CLMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CLMT - Calumet, Inc. Common Stock
$44.16
-0.03 (-0.08%)
▼
5d:
+6.96%
30d:
+21.24%
90d:
+31.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
3d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CLMT trades at premium valuation expecting 10.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CLMT trades at premium valuation expecting 10.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.71
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CLMT is currently trading at $44.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.96 to $43.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 105.2) compared to its historical average (78.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLMT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $39.60. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLMT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $39.60. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$36.96 -
$43.18
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
7th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.7%
Protect Your Profits
CLMT is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 7th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.4% above Wall St target ($39.60)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 10.2% growth expectation is conservative given 562% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.96 -
$43.18
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.71
(8.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.26
Resistance Level
$45.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
105.21
Wall Street Target
$39.60
(-10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
561.7%
Profit Margin
-4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.2% premium
PE vs Historical
105.2 vs 78.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.70
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$53.66
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$59.14
(+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 105→79)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.24
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CLMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Daniel J Sajkowski
SELL
3310 shares
2026-04-01
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Advanced CLMT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CLMT price and gamma walls.
