Calumet (CLMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CLMT - Calumet, Inc. Common Stock

PETROLEUM REFINING
$55.28
1.56 (2.90%) ▲
5d: +3.04%
30d: +4.16%
90d: +49.93%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: CLMT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.07
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.70
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CLMT is currently trading at $55.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.89 to $57.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 87.8) is in line with its historical norms (80.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CLMT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $51.33, while resistance sits at $59.87.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $49.89 - $57.23
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($53.40)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $49.89 - $57.23
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $51.33
Resistance Level $59.87
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 87.75
Wall Street Target $53.40 (-3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 40.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 561.7%
Profit Margin -3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.8% premium
PE vs Historical 87.8 vs 80.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $56.83 (+3%)
2-Year Target $58.42 (+6%)
3-Year Target $60.05 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 88→81) PE COMPRESSION $55.30 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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