CLMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CLMT - Calumet, Inc. Common Stock
$32.83
-0.42 (-1.26%)
▼
5d:
-1.74%
30d:
-0.12%
90d:
+17.0%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: CLMT shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 8th percentile) and market pricing in only 16.5% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
🚀 STRONG BUY: CLMT shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 8th percentile) and market pricing in only 16.5% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.86
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CLMT is currently trading at $32.83, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.55 to $35.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 105.9) compared to its historical average (67.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 16.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLMT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.66, while resistance sits at $35.78.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.80 (+18.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLMT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.66, while resistance sits at $35.78.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.80 (+18.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$32.55 -
$35.71
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
8th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($38.80)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 16.5% growth expectation is conservative given 562% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.55 -
$35.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.30
(7.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.66
Resistance Level
$35.78
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
105.90
Wall Street Target
$38.80
(+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
561.7%
Profit Margin
-4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+16.5% premium
PE vs Historical
105.9 vs 67.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+16.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.25
(+17%)
2-Year Target
$44.56
(+36%)
3-Year Target
$51.91
(+58%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 106→67)
PE COMPRESSION
$32.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CLMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Daniel J Sajkowski
SELL
3310 shares
2026-04-01
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Advanced CLMT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CLMT price and gamma walls.
