Calumet (CLMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CLMT - Calumet, Inc. Common Stock

PETROLEUM REFINING
$49.13
-0.19 (-0.39%) β–Ό
5d: -14.93%
30d: -8.77%
90d: +19.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026 13d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 16, 2026 at $57.27 · last confirmed Oct 23, 2026

Strength: 7.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CLMT is down 14.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.09
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.60
29.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CLMT is currently trading at $49.13, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.50 to $58.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (80.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 42.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 561.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CLMT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: CLMT scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $53.50 - $58.17
Company Quality Score 40/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($53.40)
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $53.50 - $58.17
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $48.25
Resistance Level $59.16
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.41
Wall Street Target $53.40 (+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 40.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 561.7%
Profit Margin -3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -42.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.4 vs 80.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -42.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $44.39 (-10%)
2-Year Target $39.95 (-19%)
3-Year Target $35.95 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15β†’81) $188.26 (+282%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 80.7
Stabilization Target: $258.24 (+423.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +423.6%
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CLMT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CLMT price and gamma walls.

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