CLMT Calumet, Inc. Common Stock PETROLEUM REFINING

Calumet (CLMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$36.97
+1.08 (+3.01%) ▲
5d: -14.72% 30d: -35.74% 90d: -22.53%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (95%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$42.56 – $57.42
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.0x CHEAP
vs 75.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$55.80
+55.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$33.83 / $50.45
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: CLMT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $47.20 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026

Strength: 7.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$195.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.22
69.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CLMT is currently trading at $36.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.56 to $57.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (75.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 50.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CLMT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.83, while resistance sits at $50.45. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: CLMT scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.80 (+55.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $42.56 - $57.42
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 95.2%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $42.56 - $57.42
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $33.83
Resistance Level $50.45
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 55.5% below Wall St target ($55.80)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 26% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-14.7%) - monitor closely

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.95
Wall Street Target $55.80 (+55.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 56.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -19.2%
Profit Margin -3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -50.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.0 vs 75.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -50.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $32.30 (-10%)
2-Year Target $29.07 (-19%)
3-Year Target $26.16 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→75) $220.12 (+513%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 493.3%) $268.78 (+649%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 493.3%) $121.13 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 7.6, Growth: 493.3%) $102.96 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 75.3
Stabilization Target: $301.95 (+741.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +741.3%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CLMT)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 8, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: The latest article discusses how ConocoPhillips (COP) and Calumet, Inc. (CLMT) have outperformed the Oils-Energy sector this year, with COP having a Zacks Rank of #1 and Calumet having a Zacks Rank of #1 and a year-to-date return of 182.9%.
Key Retail Themes: Outperformance of ConocoPhillips and Calumet in the Oils-Energy sector Strong earnings outlook and improving analyst sentiment for both COP and CLMT
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive CLMT Research Pages
CLMT Technical Chart CLMT Price Prediction CLMT Intrinsic Value DCF CLMT Earnings Date Why is CLMT Moving Today? CLMT Investment Advisor CLMT Fair Price Analyzer CLMT Options Chain CLMT Options Advisor CLMT Options Analysis CLMT Competitors
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