CLMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CLMT - Calumet, Inc. Common Stock
$49.01
0.72 (1.49%)
▲
5d:
+2.7%
30d:
+14.46%
90d:
+49.1%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CLMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CLMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.62
Based on -1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CLMT is currently trading at $49.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.23 to $46.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 77.8) is in line with its historical norms (79.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 561.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLMT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.48, while resistance sits at $51.50.
Market Sentiment: CLMT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $43.20. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLMT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.48, while resistance sits at $51.50.
Market Sentiment: CLMT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $43.20. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$40.23 -
$46.33
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
14.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CLMT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 11.9% above Wall St target ($43.20)
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.23 -
$46.33
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.48
Resistance Level
$51.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
77.79
Wall Street Target
$43.20
(-11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
40.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
561.7%
Profit Margin
-3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
77.8 vs 79.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.57
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$48.13
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$47.70
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 78→80)
$48.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 77.8, Growth: -6.8%)
$39.69
(+-19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -6.8%)
$10.24
(-79%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -6.8%)
$8.70
(-82%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 77.8 to 79.8
Stabilization Target:
$50.27
(+2.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CLMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Daniel J Sajkowski
SELL
3310 shares
2026-04-01
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Advanced CLMT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CLMT price and gamma walls.
