CME Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CME - CME Group Inc.
$239.71
-3.36 (-1.38%)
▼
5d:
+3.77%
30d:
-4.89%
90d:
-20.84%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
11d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
Get Alerted When CME Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CME shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CME shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$369.50
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$229.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CME is currently trading at $239.71, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $231.37 to $260.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.6) compared to its historical average (22.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CME is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $218.31, while resistance sits at $269.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $297.80 (+24.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CME is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $218.31, while resistance sits at $269.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $297.80 (+24.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$231.37 -
$260.11
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.2% below Wall St target ($297.80)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$231.37 -
$260.11
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$218.31
Resistance Level
$269.53
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 29, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.56
Wall Street Target
$297.80
(+24.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.3%
Profit Margin
63.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 22.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$223.89
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$209.11
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$195.31
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→23)
$239.87
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.3%)
$328.08
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 5.3%)
$279.64
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 5.3%)
$237.69
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.84
Bull Case
$291.60
(+22%)
Analyst growth 9.1%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$265.09
(+11%)
Market implied 9.1%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$165.29
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 22.8
Stabilization Target:
$294.40
(+22.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 10, 2026 9:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:32 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CME showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jonathan L Marcus
SELL
3291 shares
2026-03-17
Bryan T Durkin
SELL
4200 shares
2026-02-23
Martin J Gepsman
SELL
300 shares
2026-02-20
Top Rated Financial Data & Stock Exchanges Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Financial Data & Stock Exchanges by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SPGI
S&P Global Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$463 | 61 BUY |
|
MCO
Moodys Corporation |
BUY
23 analysts |
$537 | 64 BUY |
|
COIN
Coinbase Global Inc |
HOLD
29 analysts |
$229 | 52 HOLD |
|
TRU
TransUnion |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$90 | 63 BUY |
|
ICE
Intercontinental Exchang… |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$193 | 60 HOLD |
Advanced CME Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CME price and gamma walls.
