CME
CME Group Inc.
SECURITY & COMMODITY BROKERS, DEALERS, EXCHANGES & SERVICES
CME Group (CME) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$315.87
+6.78 (+2.19%)
▲
5d:
+2.46%
30d:
+13.61%
90d:
+18.21%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
Protect CME Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$281.11 – $307.77
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
23.9x
FAIR
vs 22.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$317.06
+0.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$292.37 / $316.27
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CME shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$382.40
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$237.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CME is currently trading at $315.87, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $281.11 to $307.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.9) is in line with its historical norms (22.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CME is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $316.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CME scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CME is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $316.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CME scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$281.11 -
$307.77
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$281.11 -
$307.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$292.37
Resistance Level
$316.27
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
CME is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($317.06)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.85
Wall Street Target
$317.06
(+0.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.1%
Profit Margin
63.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
23.9 vs 22.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$323.76
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$331.86
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$340.15
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$316.65
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.8, Growth: 6.8%)
$385.29
(+22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.8%)
$320.86
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 6.8%)
$272.73
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.38
Bull Case
$363.76
(+15%)
Analyst growth 7.0%, PE expands to 27.5
Base Case
$330.69
(+5%)
Market implied 7.0%, PE stable at 25.0
Bear Case
$210.18
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CME)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on $CME continues to grow on StockTwits as lumber futures prices increase according to the latest Yahoo Finance article.
Key Retail Themes:
lumber futures prices
bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CME showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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