CMPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CMPR - Cimpress PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)

COMMERCIAL PRINTING
$82.27
1.10 (1.36%) ▲
5d: +7.23%
30d: +5.49%
90d: -15.86%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026 4d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CMPR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$180.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$111.98
26.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CMPR is currently trading at $82.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.82 to $81.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.0) compared to its historical average (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CMPR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $82.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CMPR scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $114.50 (+39.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $74.82 - $81.04
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 42.3%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 39.2% below Wall St target ($114.50)
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $74.82 - $81.04
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$5.97 (7.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $73.15
Resistance Level $82.65
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.99
Wall Street Target $114.50 (+39.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -17.4%
Profit Margin 2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.0 vs 18.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $79.06 (-4%)
2-Year Target $75.98 (-8%)
3-Year Target $73.01 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→18) $82.19 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 31.2%) $231.03 (+181%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 31.2%) $186.01 (+126%)
Bear: (PE: 13.6, Growth: 31.2%) $158.11 (+92%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.79
Bull Case $121.21 (+47%)
Analyst growth 35.8%, PE expands to 23.6
Base Case $110.19 (+34%)
Market implied 35.8%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case $55.20 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.0 to 18.0
Stabilization Target: $92.61 (+12.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.6%
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CMPR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CMPR price and gamma walls.

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