CMPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CMPR - Cimpress PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)

COMMERCIAL PRINTING
$84.77
0.70 (0.83%) ▲
5d: -4.11%
30d: -14.06%
90d: -6.34%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMPR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$185.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$115.09
26.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CMPR is currently trading at $84.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.12 to $94.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.5) compared to its historical average (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CMPR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $83.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: CMPR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (14th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $114.50 (+35.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $86.12 - $94.98
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 14th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 92.3%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 14th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 35.1% below Wall St target ($114.50)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $86.12 - $94.98
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$6.79 (8.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $83.55
Resistance Level $92.10
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.48
Wall Street Target $114.50 (+35.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -17.4%
Profit Margin 2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.5 vs 18.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $81.63 (-4%)
2-Year Target $78.61 (-7%)
3-Year Target $75.70 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→19) $85.00 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 31.2%) $234.63 (+177%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 31.2%) $191.66 (+126%)
Bear: (PE: 14.0, Growth: 31.2%) $162.91 (+92%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.73
Bull Case $127.56 (+51%)
Analyst growth 37.9%, PE expands to 24.8
Base Case $115.96 (+37%)
Market implied 37.9%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case $57.17 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.5 to 18.5
Stabilization Target: $95.18 (+12.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.3%
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Last updated: September 13, 2026 12:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CMPR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CMPR price and gamma walls.

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