Centene (CNC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CNC - Centene Corporation

HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS
$70.17
-1.07 (-1.50%) ▼
5d: +1.46%
30d: +13.32%
90d: +9.5%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026 2d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.59
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.49
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CNC is currently trading at $70.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.82 to $69.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CNC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $65.08, while resistance sits at $72.50.

Market Sentiment: CNC scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $62.82 - $69.23
Company Quality Score 25/100 (STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($71.78)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 24/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $62.82 - $69.23
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $65.08
Resistance Level $72.50
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.12
Wall Street Target $71.78 (+2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 18.3%
Profit Margin -2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.6% premium
PE vs Historical 13.1 vs 12.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $71.29 (+2%)
2-Year Target $72.43 (+3%)
3-Year Target $73.59 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→13) PE COMPRESSION $70.11 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.5%) $139.38 (+99%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 9.5%) $92.09 (+31%)
Bear: (PE: 11.2, Growth: 9.5%) $78.27 (+12%)
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Last updated: October 24, 2026 6:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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