What is the fair value of CNC stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CNC to be between $64.32 and $66.65. The current price is $66.42.

What is the analyst price target for CNC?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CNC is $71.67. This implies a potential upside of 7.9% from current levels.

Centene (CNC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CNC - Centene Corporation

HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS

$66.42

1.02 (1.56%) ▲

5d: -2.35%

30d: -0.97%

90d: +4.53%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your CNC Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 27, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 2, 2026 at $67.34 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: CNC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 8.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$91.01

Based on 6.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$56.51

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CNC is currently trading at $66.42, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.32 to $66.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CNC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $61.81, while resistance sits at $68.83.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $64.32 - $66.65

Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 60.5%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($71.67)
WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $64.32 - $66.65

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $61.81

Resistance Level $68.83

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.50

Wall Street Target $71.67 (+7.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 18.3%

Profit Margin -2.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -0.1% cheaper

PE vs Historical 12.5 vs 12.6 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -0.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $66.35 (0%)

2-Year Target $66.29 (0%)

3-Year Target $66.22 (0%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→13) $66.74 (+1%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.7%) $137.70 (+107%)

Base: (SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 8.7%) $85.35 (+29%)

Bear: (PE: 10.6, Growth: 8.7%) $72.55 (+9%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 12.6

Stabilization Target: $66.94 (+0.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +0.8%

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Last updated: September 14, 2026 1:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 AM

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Advanced CNC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNC price and gamma walls.

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