The Vita Coco (COCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$65.91
+1.42 (+2.20%)
▲
5d:
+10.42%
30d:
+14.19%
90d:
-0.81%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
Protect COCO Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (21%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$54.91 – $60.41
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
29.1x
FAIR
vs 30.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$79.10
+20.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$54.24 / $67.59
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: COCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.92
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COCO is currently trading at $65.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.91 to $60.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.1) is in line with its historical norms (30.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 45.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COCO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $67.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: COCO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.10 (+20.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COCO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $67.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: COCO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.10 (+20.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$54.91 -
$60.41
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$54.91 -
$60.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$54.24
Resistance Level
$67.59
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding COCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($79.10)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.10
Wall Street Target
$79.10
(+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
45.0%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.1 vs 30.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.99
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$64.08
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$63.18
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→30)
$66.00
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.1, Growth: 5.8%)
$78.15
(+19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.8%)
$53.33
(-19%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 5.8%)
$45.33
(-31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.98
Bull Case
$81.15
(+23%)
Analyst growth 14.4%, PE expands to 35.8
Base Case
$73.77
(+12%)
Market implied 14.4%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case
$43.85
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.1 to 30.4
Stabilization Target:
$68.86
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (COCO)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment dominates on StockTwits for $COCO with no recent news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Positive investor sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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