The Vita Coco (COCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COCO - The Vita Coco Company, Inc. Common Stock
$63.50
1.73 (2.80%)
▲
5d:
+8.44%
30d:
+6.54%
90d:
-8.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: COCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: COCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.42
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COCO is currently trading at $63.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.03 to $59.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.1) compared to its historical average (30.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 115.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COCO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: COCO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.60 (+23.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COCO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: COCO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.60 (+23.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$55.03 -
$59.66
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding COCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($78.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$55.03 -
$59.66
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.76
Resistance Level
$65.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.14
Wall Street Target
$78.60
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
115.8%
Profit Margin
15.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.1 vs 30.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.96
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$58.52
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$56.18
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→31)
$63.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.1, Growth: 15.3%)
$97.26
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.3%)
$71.18
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 15.3%)
$60.50
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.81
Bull Case
$87.84
(+38%)
Analyst growth 29.3%, PE expands to 37.5
Base Case
$79.86
(+26%)
Market implied 29.3%, PE stable at 34.1
Bear Case
$42.00
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.1 to 30.6
Stabilization Target:
$71.60
(+12.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced COCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COCO price and gamma walls.
