Monster Beverage (MNST) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNST - Monster Beverage Corporation
$42.94
0.80 (1.90%)
â˛
5d:
-0.39%
30d:
-3.33%
90d:
-55.9%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 2, 2026 at $42.94 · last confirmed Oct 2, 2026
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MNST is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MNST is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.88
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNST is currently trading at $42.94, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.42 to $46.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.8) is in line with its historical norms (33.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNST is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $41.05, while resistance sits at $44.85.
Market Sentiment: MNST scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.24 (+17.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNST is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $41.05, while resistance sits at $44.85.
Market Sentiment: MNST scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.24 (+17.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$42.42 -
$46.24
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MNST? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (19/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($50.24)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.42 -
$46.24
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.05
Resistance Level
$44.85
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.80
Wall Street Target
$50.24
(+17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Profit Margin
23.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.8 vs 33.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.51
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$42.09
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$41.66
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33â34)
$42.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.8, Growth: 13.7%)
$63.16
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 13.7%)
$39.28
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 13.7%)
$33.39
(-22%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.08
Bull Case
$56.18
(+31%)
Analyst growth 21.2%, PE expands to 42.9
Base Case
$51.08
(+19%)
Market implied 21.2%, PE stable at 39.0
Bear Case
$28.66
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.8 to 33.8
Stabilization Target:
$44.24
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MNST Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNST price and gamma walls.
