MNST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNST - Monster Beverage Corporation
$96.38
-1.27 (-1.30%)
▼
5d:
+3.09%
30d:
-1.0%
90d:
+25.06%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
3d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MNST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MNST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.97
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNST is currently trading at $96.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.70 to $97.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 37.4) compared to its historical average (33.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNST is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $92.95, while resistance sits at $99.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNST is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $92.95, while resistance sits at $99.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$94.70 -
$97.90
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($96.39)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$94.70 -
$97.90
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.95
Resistance Level
$99.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.37
Wall Street Target
$96.39
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.9%
Profit Margin
23.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
37.4 vs 33.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$99.75
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$103.24
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$106.86
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→34)
PE COMPRESSION
$96.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.4, Growth: 13.1%)
$139.61
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 13.1%)
$77.45
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 13.1%)
$65.83
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.07
Bull Case
$133.84
(+39%)
Analyst growth 24.6%, PE expands to 51.9
Base Case
$121.67
(+26%)
Market implied 24.6%, PE stable at 47.2
Bear Case
$66.40
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNST price and gamma walls.
