KO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KO - Coca-Cola Company

BEVERAGES
$91.10
0.60 (0.66%) ▲
5d: +3.87%
30d: +12.23%
90d: +12.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your KO Gains
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $87.05 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026

Strength: 7.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.02
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.21
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KO is currently trading at $91.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.19 to $88.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.8) compared to its historical average (22.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $83.19 - $88.84
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.1%

Protect Your Profits

KO is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($94.70)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $83.19 - $88.84
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $85.66
Resistance Level $91.87
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.83
Wall Street Target $94.70 (+3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 16.9%
Profit Margin 28.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.1% premium
PE vs Historical 25.8 vs 22.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $94.84 (+4%)
2-Year Target $98.72 (+8%)
3-Year Target $102.77 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→23) PE COMPRESSION $91.10 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.8, Growth: 6.8%) $111.01 (+22%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 6.8%) $86.25 (-5%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 6.8%) $73.31 (-20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.34
Bull Case $105.11 (+15%)
Analyst growth 5.6%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case $95.55 (+5%)
Market implied 5.6%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case $61.54 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-10

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