CODI Compass Diversified HOUSEHOLD FURNITURE

Compass Diversified (CODI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$11.80
-0.40 (-3.28%) ▼
5d: +2.88% 30d: +10.59% 90d: -7.16%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (39%)
Quality Score
31/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$10.40 – $11.68
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.5x CHEAP
vs 23.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$17.00
+39.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
23th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.86 / $12.99
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CODI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.29
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.67
42.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CODI is currently trading at $11.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.40 to $11.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.5) compared to its historical average (23.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CODI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.86, while resistance sits at $12.99. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: CODI scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+39.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $10.40 - $11.68
Company Quality Score 31/100 (SELL)
Options IV Signal 23th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 38.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $10.40 - $11.68
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.82 (6.9%)
Support Level $10.86
Resistance Level $12.99
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 23th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 39.3% below Wall St target ($17.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.49
Wall Street Target $17.00 (+39.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -96.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -10.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.5 vs 23.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -10.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.98 (-10%)
2-Year Target $9.88 (-19%)
3-Year Target $8.89 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→23) $12.46 (+2%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 39.6%) $40.00 (+228%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 39.6%) $33.21 (+172%)
Bear: (PE: 14.0, Growth: 39.6%) $28.23 (+131%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.5 to 23.1
Stabilization Target: $17.09 (+40.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +40.1%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CODI)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Compass Diversified Holdings ($CODI) reported Q3 2026 earnings with a net income of $23 million, compared to a loss last year. Branded Consumer segment sales increased by 4%, contributing to a 12.9% increase in subsidiary Adjusted EBITDA.
Key Retail Themes: Branded Consumer sales growth Subsidiary profitability
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive CODI Research Pages
CODI Technical Chart CODI Price Prediction CODI Intrinsic Value DCF CODI Earnings Date Why is CODI Moving Today? CODI Investment Advisor CODI Fair Price Analyzer CODI Options Chain CODI Options Advisor CODI Options Analysis CODI Competitors
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