CODI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CODI - Compass Diversified

HOUSEHOLD FURNITURE
$10.57
0.49 (4.86%) ▲
5d: +5.28%
30d: -0.38%
90d: -10.42%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026 5d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CODI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.03
24.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CODI is currently trading at $10.57, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.86 to $10.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.8) compared to its historical average (26.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CODI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.83 (+21.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $9.86 - $10.57
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.7%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($12.83)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.86 - $10.57
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.85
Resistance Level $10.63
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.78
Wall Street Target $12.83 (+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -96.3%
Profit Margin -12.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 22.8 vs 26.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.09 (-5%)
2-Year Target $9.64 (-9%)
3-Year Target $9.21 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→26) $10.55 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.8, Growth: 45.9%) $32.84 (+211%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 45.9%) $29.88 (+183%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 45.9%) $25.40 (+140%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.8 to 26.1
Stabilization Target: $12.11 (+14.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +14.6%
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 8:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Stephen Keller BUY 30000 shares 2026-04-06

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