Compass Diversified (CODI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CODI - Compass Diversified

HOUSEHOLD FURNITURE
$11.01
0.05 (0.46%) ▲
5d: -4.68%
30d: -8.78%
90d: +9.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CODI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.47
43.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CODI is currently trading at $11.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.08 to $12.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (25.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CODI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+54.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $11.08 - $12.00
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 54.4% below Wall St target ($17.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.08 - $12.00
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.90
Resistance Level $11.75
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.10
Wall Street Target $17.00 (+54.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -96.3%
Profit Margin -5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -11.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.1 vs 25.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -11.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.91 (-10%)
2-Year Target $8.92 (-19%)
3-Year Target $8.03 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→25) $11.74 (+7%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 1688.9%) $43.84 (+298%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 1688.9%) $37.16 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 14.5, Growth: 1688.9%) $31.58 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.1 to 25.0
Stabilization Target: $16.10 (+46.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +46.2%
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Last updated: September 13, 2026 4:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Stephen Keller BUY 30000 shares 2026-04-06

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