Corcept Therapeutics (CORT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CORT - Corcept Therapeutics Inc.

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$116.28
-0.17 (-0.15%) ▼
5d: +0.04%
30d: -1.04%
90d: +20.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026 11d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CORT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$214.45
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$133.16
12.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CORT is currently trading at $116.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.37 to $118.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.4) compared to its historical average (36.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CORT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $107.79, while resistance sits at $122.81.

Market Sentiment: CORT scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $141.00 (+21.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $112.37 - $118.97
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 38th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 38th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.3% below Wall St target ($141.00)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $112.37 - $118.97
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$10.31 (8.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $107.79
Resistance Level $122.81
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.40
Wall Street Target $141.00 (+21.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 31.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 24.1%
Profit Margin 6.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -10.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 26.4 vs 36.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -10.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $104.65 (-10%)
2-Year Target $94.19 (-19%)
3-Year Target $84.77 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→37) $117.53 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 26.4, Growth: 107.8%) $392.44 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 107.8%) $295.26 (+154%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 107.8%) $250.97 (+116%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 19.30 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.02
Bull Case $140.41 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case $116.28 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case $88.95 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.4 to 36.6
Stabilization Target: $161.22 (+38.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +38.7%
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Last updated: October 21, 2026 8:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced CORT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CORT price and gamma walls.

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