Chesapeake Utilities (CPK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPK - Chesapeake Utilities
$129.82
0.23 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
-1.83%
30d:
-3.64%
90d:
+6.14%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CPK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CPK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$203.04
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$126.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPK is currently trading at $129.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $131.67 to $135.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.7) is in line with its historical norms (18.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $128.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $146.90 (+13.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $128.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $146.90 (+13.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$131.67 -
$135.49
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($146.90)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (47/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$131.67 -
$135.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$128.93
Resistance Level
$134.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.72
Wall Street Target
$146.90
(+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 18.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$128.91
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$128.01
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$127.11
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
$129.84
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.9%)
$218.60
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 13.9%)
$192.04
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.1, Growth: 13.9%)
$163.24
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.21
Bull Case
$168.18
(+30%)
Analyst growth 18.0%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$152.89
(+18%)
Market implied 18.0%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$88.12
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 18.1
Stabilization Target:
$132.61
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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