Chesapeake Utilities (CPK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPK - Chesapeake Utilities
$127.38
3.05 (2.45%)
▲
5d:
-1.08%
30d:
-2.66%
90d:
+4.39%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CPK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CPK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$206.04
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$127.94
0.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPK is currently trading at $127.38, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $128.15 to $132.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $124.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CPK scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $147.75 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $124.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CPK scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $147.75 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$128.15 -
$132.93
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($147.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$128.15 -
$132.93
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.33
Resistance Level
$133.10
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.29
Wall Street Target
$147.75
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 18.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$125.60
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$123.84
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$122.10
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$127.84
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 14.3%)
$224.31
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 14.3%)
$190.08
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 14.3%)
$161.57
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.05
Bull Case
$166.57
(+31%)
Analyst growth 21.8%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$151.42
(+19%)
Market implied 21.8%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$84.54
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.3 to 18.1
Stabilization Target:
$133.37
(+4.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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