CPK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPK - Chesapeake Utilities
$133.91
5.04 (3.91%)
▲
5d:
+9.74%
30d:
+7.54%
90d:
+1.76%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CPK is 7.0% above its trading range ($125.12). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CPK is 7.0% above its trading range ($125.12). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$198.74
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$123.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPK is currently trading at $133.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $120.78 to $125.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPK is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $126.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: CPK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPK is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $126.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: CPK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$120.78 -
$125.12
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($146.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$120.78 -
$125.12
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$119.53
Resistance Level
$126.31
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.32
Wall Street Target
$146.80
(+9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 18.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$134.58
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$135.25
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$135.93
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$133.55
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.3%)
$231.49
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 13.3%)
$194.72
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 13.3%)
$165.52
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.36
Bull Case
$161.70
(+26%)
Analyst growth 14.9%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$147.00
(+14%)
Market implied 14.9%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$86.98
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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