CRA International (CRAI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$200.14
+1.15 (+0.58%)
▲
5d:
+2.77%
30d:
+11.82%
90d:
+17.16%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (28%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$177.39 – $198.93
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
21.3x
STRETCHED
vs 18.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$250.50
+25.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$192.38 / $215.36
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRAI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$232.18
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$144.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRAI is currently trading at $200.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $177.39 to $198.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.3) compared to its historical average (18.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRAI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $192.38, while resistance sits at $215.36.
Market Sentiment: CRAI scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $250.50 (+25.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRAI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $192.38, while resistance sits at $215.36.
Market Sentiment: CRAI scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $250.50 (+25.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$177.39 -
$198.93
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$177.39 -
$198.93
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$192.38
Resistance Level
$215.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.2% below Wall St target ($250.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.3% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.30
Wall Street Target
$250.50
(+25.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.3% premium
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 18.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$210.75
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$221.92
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$233.68
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$200.78
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.3, Growth: 8.4%)
$255.24
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.4%)
$238.00
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 8.4%)
$202.30
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.96
Bull Case
$258.40
(+29%)
Analyst growth 18.0%, PE expands to 27.5
Base Case
$234.91
(+17%)
Market implied 18.0%, PE stable at 25.0
Bear Case
$135.31
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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Net
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