Cresud SA (CRESY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRESY - Cresud SA
$11.36
-0.15 (-1.30%)
▼
5d:
-10.83%
30d:
-2.66%
90d:
+3.18%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CRESY is down 10.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CRESY is down 10.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRESY is currently trading at $11.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.44 to $12.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 70.1) compared to its historical average (139.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRESY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CRESY scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.86 (+39.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRESY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CRESY scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.86 (+39.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.44 -
$12.53
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.6% below Wall St target ($15.86)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.44 -
$12.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.13
Resistance Level
$12.89
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
70.12
Wall Street Target
$15.86
(+39.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.3%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
70.1 vs 139.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.22
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.20
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.28
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 70→140)
$16.50
(+45%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 70.1, Growth: 51.4%)
$38.34
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 51.4%)
$11.15
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 51.4%)
$9.48
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.77
Bull Case
$6.33
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 7.2
Base Case
$5.75
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 6.5
Bear Case
$7.83
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 70.1 to 139.7
Stabilization Target:
$22.63
(+99.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+99.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRESY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Alejandro Gustavo Elszta…
BUY
4458 shares
2026-04-23
Alejandro Gustavo Elszta…
BUY
13375 shares
2026-04-22
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