CRH Public (CRH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRH - CRH Public Limited Company

CEMENT, HYDRAULIC
$83.75
-1.29 (-1.52%) ▼
5d: -3.89%
30d: -12.38%
90d: -23.07%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$159.38
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.96
15.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRH is currently trading at $83.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.21 to $94.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $82.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: CRH scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $133.18 (+59.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $86.21 - $94.43
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 59.0% below Wall St target ($133.18)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 21% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $86.21 - $94.43
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $82.17
Resistance Level $89.52
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 28, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.83
Wall Street Target $133.18 (+59.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 13.9%
Profit Margin 9.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.8 vs 16.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $76.46 (-9%)
2-Year Target $69.81 (-17%)
3-Year Target $63.74 (-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→17) $83.45 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 11.6%) $185.13 (+121%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 11.6%) $116.45 (+39%)
Bear: (PE: 10.9, Growth: 11.6%) $98.98 (+18%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.66
Bull Case $107.87 (+29%)
Analyst growth 15.3%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case $98.07 (+17%)
Market implied 15.3%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case $57.83 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 16.8
Stabilization Target: $109.65 (+30.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +30.9%
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Last updated: September 29, 2026 9:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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