CRUS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRUS - Cirrus Logic Inc

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$137.36
-9.15 (-6.25%) ▼
5d: -6.28%
30d: -15.69%
90d: -14.74%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 20d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRUS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.52
Based on -26.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.47
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRUS is currently trading at $137.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $146.56 to $163.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRUS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $138.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: CRUS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $184.25 (+34.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $146.56 - $163.17
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 34.1% below Wall St target ($184.25)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.3% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $146.56 - $163.17
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$10.13 (7.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $138.53
Resistance Level $152.67
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.24
Wall Street Target $184.25 (+34.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 19.9%
Profit Margin 20.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.2 vs 17.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $132.42 (-4%)
2-Year Target $127.65 (-7%)
3-Year Target $123.05 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→17) $137.28 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: -56.6%) $193.01 (+41%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: -56.6%) $135.04 (-2%)
Bear: (PE: 13.0, Growth: -56.6%) $114.79 (-16%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.85
Bull Case $189.92 (+30%)
Analyst growth 14.8%, PE expands to 21.1
Base Case $172.66 (+18%)
Market implied 14.8%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case $102.24 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 17.0
Stabilization Target: $153.24 (+11.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +11.6%
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Last updated: July 14, 2026 5:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:20 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Thomas SELL 9942 shares 2026-04-09
Scott Thomas SELL 3239 shares 2026-02-13
Justin E Dougherty SELL 3000 shares 2026-02-11

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Advanced CRUS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRUS price and gamma walls.

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