Carriage Services (CSV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSV - Carriage Services, Inc.
$32.52
0.33 (1.03%)
▲
5d:
-3.96%
30d:
-3.47%
90d:
-17.98%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CSV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CSV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.44
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.42
5.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSV is currently trading at $32.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.69 to $36.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CSV scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.80 (+59.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CSV scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.80 (+59.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$32.69 -
$36.20
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.3% below Wall St target ($51.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.69 -
$36.20
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.00
Resistance Level
$34.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.94
Wall Street Target
$51.80
(+59.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 11.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.95
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$27.58
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$25.41
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$32.68
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.6%)
$91.33
(+181%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 7.6%)
$40.48
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 7.6%)
$34.41
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.79
Bull Case
$46.17
(+42%)
Analyst growth 30.4%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case
$41.97
(+29%)
Market implied 30.4%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$21.89
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$41.84
(+28.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 3:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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