Carriage Services (CSV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSV - Carriage Services, Inc.
$32.17
0.38 (1.20%)
▲
5d:
+0.72%
30d:
-3.54%
90d:
-15.94%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CSV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CSV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.12
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.22
6.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSV is currently trading at $32.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.31 to $33.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.11, while resistance sits at $33.26.
Market Sentiment: CSV scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.00 (+58.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.11, while resistance sits at $33.26.
Market Sentiment: CSV scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.00 (+58.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$31.31 -
$33.70
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.5% below Wall St target ($51.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 19% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.31 -
$33.70
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.11
Resistance Level
$33.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.84
Wall Street Target
$51.00
(+58.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 11.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.66
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$27.35
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$25.21
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$32.22
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.1%)
$93.87
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 8.1%)
$40.69
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 8.1%)
$34.59
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.85
Bull Case
$44.64
(+39%)
Analyst growth 27.6%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$40.58
(+26%)
Market implied 27.6%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$21.62
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 11.3
Stabilization Target:
$41.11
(+27.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 5:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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