CSV
Carriage Services, Inc.
SERVICES-PERSONAL SERVICES
Carriage Services (CSV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$28.47
-0.84 (-2.87%)
βΌ
5d:
-20.87%
30d:
-17.74%
90d:
-18.47%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$31.01 β $36.62
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.2x
CHEAP
vs 11.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$41.20
+44.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$26.28 / $36.91
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CSV is down 20.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.61
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSV is currently trading at $28.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.01 to $36.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.2) compared to its historical average (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 36.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.28, while resistance sits at $36.91.
Market Sentiment: CSV scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.20 (+44.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.28, while resistance sits at $36.91.
Market Sentiment: CSV scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.20 (+44.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$31.01 -
$36.62
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$31.01 -
$36.62
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$26.28
Resistance Level
$36.91
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.7% below Wall St target ($41.20)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 β corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -20.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.23
Wall Street Target
$41.20
(+44.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.6%
Profit Margin
11.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 11.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.82
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$25.26
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$23.80
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9β11)
$28.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.3%)
$71.61
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 5.3%)
$33.26
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 5.3%)
$28.27
(-1%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.95
Bull Case
$33.73
(+19%)
Analyst growth 4.6%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case
$30.66
(+8%)
Market implied 4.6%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$19.93
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$33.95
(+19.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CSV)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages express bullish sentiment towards $CSV with mention of a potential breakout at the 34 level. The latest Yahoo Finance news article suggests avoiding $CSV due to weak sales growth, poor cash profitability, and stagnant returns.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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