Carriage Services (CSV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSV - Carriage Services, Inc.
$36.98
1.30 (3.64%)
▲
5d:
+2.35%
30d:
+16.58%
90d:
-5.08%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CSV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CSV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.03
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSV is currently trading at $36.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.26 to $35.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CSV scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.00 (+37.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CSV scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.00 (+37.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$31.26 -
$35.04
Company Quality Score
28/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.5% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 37.9% below Wall St target ($51.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.26 -
$35.04
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.92
Resistance Level
$37.11
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.16
Wall Street Target
$51.00
(+37.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.87
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$34.79
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$33.75
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$36.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.8%)
$93.03
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 8.8%)
$47.62
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 8.8%)
$40.47
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.80
Bull Case
$50.99
(+38%)
Analyst growth 29.9%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case
$46.36
(+25%)
Market implied 29.9%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case
$24.26
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 11.1
Stabilization Target:
$40.38
(+9.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 7:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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