CTRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTRI - Centuri Holdings, Inc.
$27.84
1.00 (3.73%)
▲
5d:
+0.61%
30d:
-2.28%
90d:
-25.96%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CTRI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.9% annual earnings decline despite 175% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CTRI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.9% annual earnings decline despite 175% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.46
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.47
5.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTRI is currently trading at $27.84, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.01 to $29.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.6) compared to its historical average (32.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 175.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: CTRI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.58 (+31.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: CTRI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.58 (+31.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$26.01 -
$29.75
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.4% below Wall St target ($36.58)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.01 -
$29.75
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.16
Resistance Level
$28.19
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.56
Wall Street Target
$36.58
(+31.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
175.2%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.6 vs 32.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.75
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$25.71
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$24.71
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→32)
$27.86
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.6, Growth: 37.4%)
$72.26
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 37.4%)
$52.45
(+88%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 37.4%)
$44.58
(+60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 34.60 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.80
Bull Case
$33.62
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.3
Base Case
$27.84
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.6
Bear Case
$21.30
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.6 to 32.2
Stabilization Target:
$31.39
(+12.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTRI price and gamma walls.
