CTRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTRI - Centuri Holdings, Inc.
$21.36
-0.42 (-1.93%)
▼
5d:
-9.57%
30d:
-22.86%
90d:
-29.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CTRI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CTRI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.61
25.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTRI is currently trading at $21.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.09 to $27.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.6) compared to its historical average (31.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CTRI scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.58 (+47.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CTRI scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.58 (+47.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.09 -
$27.42
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CTRI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.9% below Wall St target ($31.58)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.09 -
$27.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.35
Resistance Level
$25.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.57
Wall Street Target
$31.58
(+47.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.6 vs 31.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.22
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$17.30
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$15.57
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→32)
$21.73
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 37.4%)
$55.36
(+159%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 37.4%)
$49.23
(+131%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 37.4%)
$41.84
(+96%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 34.60 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.62
Bull Case
$25.79
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.3
Base Case
$21.36
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.6
Bear Case
$16.34
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.6 to 31.5
Stabilization Target:
$29.81
(+39.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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