CTRI Centuri Holdings, Inc. NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION

Centuri (CTRI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$22.66
+0.10 (+0.44%) ▲
5d: +10.32% 30d: +9.05% 90d: -1.86%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$19.71 – $21.67
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
21.3x CHEAP
vs 29.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$27.86
+22.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$18.51 / $23.34
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CTRI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.37
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.90
29.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CTRI is currently trading at $22.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.71 to $21.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.3) compared to its historical average (29.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1230.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.50, while resistance sits at $23.34.

Market Sentiment: CTRI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.86 (+22.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $19.71 - $21.67
Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 28.6%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $19.71 - $21.67
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $18.51
Resistance Level $23.34
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 22.9% below Wall St target ($27.86)
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.29
Wall Street Target $27.86 (+22.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 40.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1230.7%
Profit Margin 1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 21.3 vs 29.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.42 (-10%)
2-Year Target $18.40 (-19%)
3-Year Target $16.57 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→29) $22.65 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.3, Growth: 24.6%) $43.85 (+94%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 24.6%) $40.90 (+81%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 24.6%) $34.76 (+53%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.57
Bull Case $46.33 (+104%)
Analyst growth 86.7%, PE expands to 43.5
Base Case $42.12 (+86%)
Market implied 86.7%, PE stable at 39.6
Bear Case $15.34 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.3 to 29.1
Stabilization Target: $30.97 (+36.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +36.7%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CTRI)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: StockTwits saw one bullish message about $CTRI with 101 followers, while no recent news articles were available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive CTRI Research Pages
CTRI Technical Chart CTRI Price Prediction CTRI Intrinsic Value DCF CTRI Earnings Date CTRI Investment Advisor CTRI Fair Price Analyzer CTRI Options Chain CTRI Options Advisor CTRI Options Analysis CTRI Competitors
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