Centuri (CTRI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTRI - Centuri Holdings, Inc.
$20.16
-0.09 (-0.44%)
▼
5d:
-1.71%
30d:
-15.19%
90d:
-32.19%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CTRI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CTRI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.55
29.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTRI is currently trading at $20.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.29 to $23.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.4) compared to its historical average (30.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CTRI scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.67 (+47.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CTRI scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.67 (+47.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.29 -
$23.78
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (79/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.2% below Wall St target ($29.67)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 79/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.29 -
$23.78
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.61
Resistance Level
$21.02
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.35
Wall Street Target
$29.67
(+47.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.4 vs 30.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.14
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$16.33
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.70
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→31)
$21.20
(+5%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.3, Growth: 33.2%)
$47.65
(+136%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 33.2%)
$45.02
(+123%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 33.2%)
$38.27
(+90%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 34.60 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.58
Bull Case
$24.34
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.3
Base Case
$20.16
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.6
Bear Case
$15.42
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.3 to 30.8
Stabilization Target:
$29.09
(+44.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+44.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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