Centuri (CTRI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTRI - Centuri Holdings, Inc.
$20.91
0.37 (1.80%)
▲
5d:
+1.95%
30d:
+1.9%
90d:
-23.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CTRI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CTRI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.21
28.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTRI is currently trading at $20.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.71 to $20.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.2) compared to its historical average (30.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.50 (+38.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.50 (+38.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$19.71 -
$20.80
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CTRI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.8% below Wall St target ($28.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.71 -
$20.80
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.11
Resistance Level
$21.47
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.25
Wall Street Target
$28.50
(+38.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 30.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.49
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$16.64
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.97
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→30)
$21.28
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.3, Growth: 41.5%)
$58.18
(+183%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 41.5%)
$55.85
(+172%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 41.5%)
$47.47
(+131%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 20.49 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.00
Bull Case
$24.80
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$20.54
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$15.71
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.3 to 30.2
Stabilization Target:
$29.19
(+42.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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